Trash Pandas: Week 16 Recap & Week 17 Preview

Week 16 Recap

Playoffs Round 1

Trash Pandas vs Achilles Heels

Vengeance is mine!

A loss to the Heels three weeks ago kept me from going undefeated in our division, and getting an extra first round pick next year. The Heels also bounced me from the playoffs two years ago. My track record against them hasn’t been good. As I said in the preview, they’ve been, quite literally, my Achilles heel. To advance by eliminating them is sweet.

It wasn’t an easy victory, it came down to Sunday night and one of the two players I had going went down with an injury and scored a big, fat zero.

I started Justin Herbert over Trevor Lawrence due to matchup and that is why I won. Herbert only outscored Lawrence by 8 points, and won the QB battle 48-32, but he also affected another position.

Because I was playing Herbert, and because Rome Odunze was out with an injury, I decided to put Herbert’s Chargers teammate, Quentin Johnston into my lineup and that is what ultimately led me to victory. Johnston put up 22 points and helped me win the WR battle by 7 points.

Jahmyr Gibbs didn’t have a great game, but he got a late TD and was able to muster 14 very important points. Unfortunately, TreVeyon Henderson went down with an injury without scoring a single point. I lost the RB battle by 4 points.

When Henderson went down I was still trailing by 8 points, fortunately I had Patriots kicker, Andy Borregales going and he came through with 18 points.

Brock Bowers didn’t have a huge game, but he did score a very valuable TD and won the TE matchup, 10-3.

Besides the Henderson injury, the other negatives this week were Marvin Harrison Jr mustering just a single point in his return to the lineup & my injury replacement and hunch start at flex, Audric Estime, managing just two points.

Justin Herbert, QB, Los Angeles Chargers. Photo Credit- Kevin Jairaj/ Imagn Images

Week 17 Preview

Playoffs Round 2

Trash Pandas vs Shamrocks N Shenanigans

Projected Lineups & Reserves

Previous Matchup

Week 10 Result

Our previous encounter was a wild one. Jonathan Taylor had a monster game in Germany and I thought I was done, but then Gibbs & Henderson went off. For Henderson, it was his breakthrough game.

The Shamrocks were rolling before that loss and they stumbled a bit down the stretch. They were able to hold onto a playoff spot and last week they were very good.

They’re a formidable opponent and I’ll need to have some guys really outperform their projections.

My keys to the week:

  1. Trevor Lawrence- I’m going back to Lawrence because of matchup. Lawrence has been on a hot streak for the last month and I need that to continue.
  2. Jahmyr Gibbs– Henderson’s status is uncertain as of this writing, so I need Gibbs to have one of his big games.
  3. Dalton Schultz- Raiders are shutting down Brock Bowers for the season. I understand it, but it sucks for my fantasy team. Bowers had an excellent matchup and I cannot expect Schultz to hit Bowers’ ceiling, but I need him to produce like a normal TE1.
  4. Marvin Harrison Jr- I cannot afford to have Harrison have another dud this week. Fortunately, he has a great matchup & he needs to produce.

Playoff Picture: Week 17

AFC

1. DENVER BRONCOS (12-3) -x

Remaining Schedule

at Kansas City Chiefs

vs Los Angeles Chargers

Denver controls their own destiny for the AFC West & the #1 seed.

Clinching Scenario- Win vs Kansas City & Chargers loss clinches AFC West.

2. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (12-3) -x

Remaining Schedule

at New York Jets

vs Miami Dolphins

Patriots have a favorable closing schedule.

Clinching Scenario- Win vs NY Jets & Bills loss clinches AFC East.

3. JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (11-4) -x

Remaining Schedule

at Indianapolis Colts

vs Tennessee Titans

Jaguars got a statement win & stayed in the hunt for the #1 seed.

Clinching Scenario- Win vs Indianapolis & Texans loss clinches AFC South.

4. PITTSBURGH STEELERS (9-6)

Remaining Schedule

at Cleveland Browns

vs Baltimore Ravens

Steelers are peaking at the right time.

Clinching Scenario- Win vs Cleveland or Ravens loss clinches AFC North.

#5 LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (11-4) -x

Remaining Schedule

vs Houston Texans

at Denver Broncos

Chargers clinched a playoff spot and still have eyes on the division title.

6. BUFFALO BILLS (11-4) -x

Remaining Schedule

vs Philadelphia Eagles

vs New York Jets

Bills are in, but still looking to improve their seed.

7. HOUSTON TEXANS (10-5)

Remaining Schedule

at Los Angeles Chargers

vs Indianapolis Colts

Texans nearly stumbled, but they’re on the verge of clinching a playoff spot and still have a shot at the division.

Clinching Scenario- Win vs LA Chargers or Colts loss clinches a playoff berth.

8. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (8-7)

Remaining Schedule

vs Jacksonville Jaguars

at Houston Texans

Colts playoff hopes are hanging by a thread.

9. BALTIMORE RAVENS (7-8)

Remaining Schedule

at Green Bay Packers

at Pittsburgh Steelers

Ravens playoff chances are on life support.

Games to Watch

Week 17– Houston Texans @ Los Angeles Chargers

Houston clinches with a win. Both teams need a win to keep their division hopes alive.

Week 17– Baltimore Ravens @ Green Bay Packers

Baltimore is eliminated with a loss. Green Bay clinches a playoff spot with a win.

Week 17– Philadelphia Eagles @ Buffalo Bills

Buffalo needs a victory to keep their division hopes alive.

Week 18– Los Angeles Chargers @ Denver Broncos

This one has the potential to decide the AFC West & the number one seed.

Week 18– Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers

The AFC North always seems to come down to these two and it certainly appears as if this final week matchup will settle it once again.

My AFC Picks

  1. New England Patriots (14-3) AFC East Champions
  2. Jacksonville Jaguars (13-4) AFC South Champions
  3. Denver Broncos (13-4) AFC West Champions
  4. Pittsburgh Steelers (10-7) AFC North Champions
  5. Buffalo Bills (13-4)
  6. Houston Texans (12-5)
  7. Los Angeles Chargers (12-5)

NFC

1. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (12-3) -x

Remaining Schedule

at Carolina Panthers

at San Francisco 49ers

Seahawks have vaulted into the driver’s seat in the NFC.

Clinching Scenario- Win vs Carolina & Rams loss & 49ers loss clinches NFC West.

2. CHICAGO BEARS (11-4) -x

Remaining Schedule

at San Francisco 49ers

vs Detroit Lions

Bears are in, now they look to sew up the division.

Clinching Scenario- Win vs San Francisco or Packers loss clinches NFC North.

3. PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (10-5) -y

Remaining Schedule

at Buffalo Bills

vs Washington Commanders

Eagles have clinched NFC East.

4. CAROLINA PANTHERS (8-7)

Remaining Schedule

vs Seattle Seahawks

at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Carolina has the edge in the NFC South, for now.

Clinching Scenario- Win vs Seattle & Buccaneers loss clinches NFC South.

5. SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (11-4) -x

Remaining Schedule

vs Chicago Bears

vs Seattle Seahawks

Niners control their own destiny for the division and the number one seed.

6. LOS ANGELES RAMS (11-4) -x

Remaining Schedule

at Atlanta Falcons

vs Arizona Cardinals

Rams have fallen all the way down to sixth and made their playoff road that much harder.

7. GREEN BAY PACKERS (9-5-1)

Remaining Schedule

vs Baltimore Ravens

at Minnesota Vikings

Packers may have lost their chance at the division, but they should still make the playoffs.

Clinching Scenario- Win vs Baltimore or Lions loss clinches a playoff berth.

8. DETROIT LIONS (8-7)

Remaining Schedule

at Minnesota Vikings

at Chicago Bears

Detroit is on life support.

9. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (7-8)

Remaining Schedule

at Miami Dolphins

vs Carolina Panthers

Tampa is still in decent shape to win the NFC South.

Eliminated This Week

10. DALLAS COWBOYS (6-8-1)

Games to Watch

Week 17– Chicago Bears @ San Francisco 49ers

This game has huge seeding implications for both teams.

Week 17– Baltimore Ravens @ Green Bay Packers

Packers are in with a win & Baltimore and Detroit are eliminated.

Week 17– Seattle Seahawks @ Carolina Panthers

Both teams looking to strengthen their grasp on their respective divisions.

Week 18– Carolina Panthers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

This game likely decides the NFC South and the final playoff spot.

Week 18– Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers

This one could decide the NFC West and determine the #1 seed.

My NFC Picks

  1. San Francisco 49ers (13-4) NFC West Champions
  2. Chicago Bears (12-5) NFC North Champions
  3. Philadelphia Eagles (11-6) NFC East Champions
  4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-8) NFC South Champions
  5. Seattle Seahawks (13-4)
  6. Los Angeles Rams (13-4)
  7. Green Bay Packers (11-5-1)

x- denotes clinched playoff berth

y- denotes clinched division

NFL Power Rankings: Week 17

#1 SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (12-3) +2

Previous: #3, won vs #1 LA Rams, 38-37

Seahawks engineered a big comeback against the Rams & are now in the driver’s seat in the NFC.

Upcoming: at #14 Carolina

#2 LOS ANGELES RAMS (11-4) -1

Previous: #1, lost at #3 Seattle, 38-37

I still think the Rams are the best team in the NFL, but they’ve made it really hard on themselves.

Upcoming: at #22 Atlanta

#3 SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (11-4) +4

Previous: #7, won at #18 Indianapolis, 48-27

If the Niners win their last two games they will claim the #1 seed in the NFC.

Upcoming: vs #7 Chicago

#4 JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (11-4) +7

Previous: #11, won at #2 Denver, 34-20

I believe Jacksonville may be the best team in the AFC.

Upcoming: at #18 Indianapolis

#5 NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (12-3) -1

Previous: #4, won at #15 Baltimore, 28-24

Patriots have a great chance to claim the #1 seed in the AFC, I’m just not sure I trust them in the playoffs.

Upcoming: at #29 NY Jets

#6 DENVER BRONCOS (12-3) -4

Previous: #2, lost vs #11 Jacksonville, 34-20

Denver still has the top seed and they have the defense to win a championship, but I don’t trust Bo Nix and that offense.

Upcoming: vs #11 Jacksonville

#7 CHICAGO BEARS (11-4) +1

Previous: #8, won vs #10 Green Bay, 22-16

Bears pulled off an epic comeback and seized control of the NFC North & still have a shot at the #1 seed.

Upcoming: at #3 San Francisco

#8 HOUSTON TEXANS (10-5) -3

Previous: #5, won vs #32 Las Vegas, 23-21

Much like Denver, I trust the Houston defense but not CJ Stroud and the Texans offense.

Upcoming: at #11 LA Chargers

#9 BUFFALO BILLS (11-4) -3

Previous: #6, won at #31 Cleveland, 23-20

Many think the AFC is set up for Buffalo to finally make a Super Bowl, I am not one of those.

Upcoming: vs #10 Philadelphia

#10 PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (10-5) -1

Previous: #9, won at #26 Washington, 29-18

Philly clinched the NFC East and can be no worse than the #3 seed.

Upcoming: at #9 Buffalo

#11 LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (11-4) +1

Previous: #12, won at #20 Dallas, 34-17

Chargers have clinched a playoff berth despite a rash of injuries to their offensive line.

Upcoming: vs #8 Houston

#12 PITTSBURGH STEELERS (9-6) +2

Previous: #14, won at #13 Detroit, 29-24

Pittsburgh is playing their best football at the right time of the season.

Upcoming: at #30 Cleveland

#13 GREEN BAY PACKERS (9-5-1) -3

Previous: #10, lost at #8 Chicago, 22-16

Packers dropped a heartbreaker and have little chance to win the division, but they’re still in a strong position to make the playoffs.

Upcoming: vs #16 Baltimore

#14 CAROLINA PANTHERS (8-7) +2

Previous: #16, won vs #17 Tampa Bay, 23-20

Panthers are in the driver’s seat in the NFC South, for now.

Upcoming: vs #1 Seattle

#15 DETROIT LIONS (8-7) -2

Previous: #13, lost vs #14 Pittsburgh, 29-24

Detroit’s playoff hopes are on life support.

Upcoming: at #19 Minnesota

#16 BALTIMORE RAVENS (7-8) -1

Previous: #15, lost vs #4 New England, 28-24

Ravens playoff hopes barely have a pulse.

Upcoming: at #13 Green Bay

#17 TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (7-8)

Previous: #17, lost at #16 Carolina, 23-20

Tampa’s collapse has been stunning, but they still have a decent shot to win the NFC South.

Upcoming: at #23 Miami

#18 INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (8-7)

Previous: #18, lost vs #7 San Francisco, 48-27

Indy’s collapse isn’t all on the injury to Daniel Jones.

Upcoming: vs #4 Jacksonville

#19 MINNESOTA VIKINGS (7-8)

Previous: #19, won at #29 NY Giants, 16-13

Vikings are eliminated from playoff contention.

Upcoming: vs #15 Detroit

#20 DALLAS COWBOYS (6-8-1)

Previous: #20, lost vs #12 LA Chargers, 34-17

Cowboys are eliminated from playoff contention.

Upcoming: at #26 Washington

#21 CINCINNATI BENGALS (5-10) +4

Previous: #25, won vs #21 Miami, 45-21

Bengals are eliminated from playoff contention.

Upcoming: vs #28 Arizona

#22 ATLANTA FALCONS (6-9) +1

Previous: #23, won at #27 Arizona, 26-19

Falcons are eliminated from playoff contention.

Upcoming: vs #2 LA Rams

#23 MIAMI DOLPHINS (6-9) -2

Previous: #21, lost vs #25 Cincinnati, 45-21

Dolphins are eliminated from playoff contention.

Upcoming: vs #17 Tampa Bay

#24 NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (5-10)

Previous: #24, won vs #28 NY Jets, 29-6

Saints are eliminated from playoff contention.

Upcoming: at #27 Tennessee

#25 KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (6-9) -3

Previous: #22, lost at #30 Tennessee, 26-9

Chiefs are eliminated from playoff contention.

Upcoming: vs #6 Denver

#26 WASHINGTON COMMANDERS (4-11)

Previous: #26, lost vs #9 Philadelphia, 29-18

Commanders are eliminated from playoff contention.

Upcoming: vs #20 Dallas

#27 TENNESSEE TITANS (3-12) +3

Previous: #30, won vs #22 Kansas City, 26-9

Titans are eliminated from playoff contention.

Upcoming: vs #24 New Orleans

#28 ARIZONA CARDINALS (3-12) -1

Previous: #27, lost vs #23 Atlanta, 26-19

Cardinals are eliminated from playoff contention.

Upcoming: at #21 Cincinnati

#29 NEW YORK JETS (3-12) -1

Previous: #28, lost at #24 New Orleans, 29-6

Jets are eliminated from playoff contention.

Upcoming: vs #5 New England

#30 CLEVELAND BROWNS (3-12) +1

Previous: #31, lost vs #6 Buffalo, 23-20

Browns are eliminated from playoff contention.

Upcoming: vs #12 Pittsburgh

#31 NEW YORK GIANTS (2-13) -2

Previous: #29, lost vs #19 Minnesota, 16-13

Giants are eliminated from playoff contention.

Upcoming: at #32 Las Vegas

#32 LAS VEGAS RAIDERS (2-13)

Previous: #32, lost at #5 Houston, 23-21

Raiders are eliminated from playoff contention.

Upcoming: vs #31 NY Giants

Week 16 NFL Picks

Last Week: 8-8 / 4-12

Season: 144-80 / 114-110

Los Angeles Rams (-1.5) @ Seattle Seahawks

I won’t be shocked if Seattle wins this heavyweight battle, but I think the Rams take control of the NFC here.

Rams 24-20

Philadelphia Eagles (-6.5) @ Washington Commanders

I’m not sure Philly has completely solved their offensive woes, but they have enough to handle Washington and wrap up the NFC East.

PHI 28-17

Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears (+1.5)

I liked the Bears to avenge their loss from two weeks ago before Micah Parsons went down. I like them even more now.

CHI 28-20

New York Jets @ New Orleans Saints (-4.5)

Saints have fought hard pretty much all season, the Jets have not.

NO 23-17

Buffalo Bills (-10) @ Cleveland Browns

This one will never be in doubt, Bills roll.

BUF 38-10

Kansas City Chiefs @ Tennessee Titans (+3.5)

The Chiefs are eliminated and lost Mahomes. First time I’m picking the Titans to win all season.

TEN 24-23

Los Angeles Chargers (+1.5) @ Dallas Cowboys

Cowboys could be eliminated before kickoff, the game will mean more to LA.

Chargers 31-24

Minnesota Vikings (-3) @ New York Giants

Battle of eliminated teams, I think the Vikings have the momentum.

MIN 24-17

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers (+3)

First of two battles to decide the NFC South, I’ll take the Panthers at home.

CAR 17-14

Cincinnati Bengals @ Miami Dolphins (+2.5)

Both teams are eliminated, but I think Miami has more fight in them.

MIA 30-28

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Denver Broncos (-3)

Big matchup in Mile High, the Broncos clinch the AFC West with a win.

DEN 20-16

Atlanta Falcons @ Arizona Cardinals (+2.5)

Both teams are eliminated, call it a hunch but I like Arizona at home.

ARZ 27-24

Las Vegas Raiders @ Houston Texans (-14.5)

I’m tempted to pick the Texans in a shutout here, but I’ll give Vegas a touchdown.

HOU 28-7

Pittsburgh Steelers (+7) @ Detroit Lions

Lions need the win more and they’re at home.

DET 24-20

New England Patriots (+3) @ Baltimore Ravens

Are the young Patriots ready to win a December road game against a playoff caliber opponent? I am not so sure.

BAL 19-17

San Francisco 49ers @ Indianapolis Colts (+6)

Niners clinch a playoff spot with a win.

SF 24-20

Trash Pandas: Week 15 Recap & Week 16 Preview

Week 15 Recap

Trash Pandas vs Lancaster Lightning

Wow! I love fantasy football!

I thought, for sure, that I lost this week after Kyle Pitts had an all-time tight end fantasy game on Thursday night, but then the Sunday one o’clock window came.

Trevor Lawrence had a game for the ages. SIX total touchdowns & 70 points! He won the QB matchup by 28 and gets my MVP.

I won the RB duel 55-4 despite Jahmyr Gibbs only putting up 5 points because TreVeyon Henderson exploded for 50!

Wide receiver was an issue for me going into the week as my top two, Rome Odunze & Marvin Harrison Jr, both missed the previous game. Harrison was ruled out again, but Odunze was slated to go. Two minutes before kickoff, Odunze gets ruled out but he was already locked into my lineup. It could have been catastrophic, but ended up not hurting me, though I lost the WR battle, 34-8.

The TE battle was a bloodbath as Brock Bowers had a complete dud, while Pitts had a monster game. I lost this matchup, 41-4.

Dalton Schultz won the flex battle, 14-8.

The Philadelphia Eagles defense pitched a shutout and won the team defense matchup by 31 points.

The final score became a lot closer because I got crushed at kicker, 48-7.

This epic win, coupled with a loss by the division leader vaulted me into first place in the division and the #2 overall seed for the playoffs.

Trevor Lawrence, QB, Jacksonville Jaguars. Photo Credit- Phelan M. Ebenhack/ Associated Press

Week 16 Preview

Playoffs Round 1

Trash Pandas vs Achilles Heels

Projected Lineups & Reserves

Previous Matchups

Week 1 Result
Week 13 Result

For the second time in three seasons the Pandas & Heels face off three times in a season. My opponent has, quite literally, been my Achilles heel, as I have a 1-6 record versus them. My only win coming in week one this season.

We split the season series this year and, coincidentally, also scored the exact same amount of points in the two matchups. My loss in week 13 was my only division loss of the season.

This is projected to be another close one. I need to keep an eye on my receivers as I have injury issues with all of them.

My keys to the week:

  1. Justin Herbert- Even after Trevor Lawrence’s monster game, Herbert moves back into my starting lineup because he has a much better matchup than Lawrence. Don’t make me regret it.
  2. Jahmyr Gibbs & TreVeyon Henderson- I feel like I have a distinct advantage at RB, especially since I think Devon Achane is projected way too high. If Gibbs & Henderson perform like they’re capable of, they could carry me to the next round.
  3. Rome Odunze & Luther Burden III- One of the Bears receivers needs to be healthy for me, it would be even better if Marvin Harrison Jr was as well. I need my receivers not to squander any advantage my RBs might have.
  4. Dalton Schultz– My stud TE, Brock Bowers, has a terrible matchup but I’m still playing him because I just can’t not. I’m also playing his counterpart, Schultz, because he has a much better matchup. It would be huge if my TE2 wins the flex battle.

Playoff Picture: Week 16

AFC

1. DENVER BRONCOS (12-2) -x

Remaining Schedule

vs Jacksonville Jaguars

at Kansas City Chiefs

vs Los Angeles Chargers

Denver is the first team in the AFC to clinch a playoff berth & they have the inside track to the number one overall seed & a first round bye.

Clinching Scenario- Win vs Jacksonville or Chargers loss clinches the AFC West.

2. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (11-3)

Remaining Schedule

at Baltimore Ravens

at New York Jets

vs Miami Dolphins

New England blew a big lead against Buffalo & a chance to wrap up the AFC East. The Patriots still hold a one game lead in the division & a pretty favorable schedule to finish the season.

Clinching Scenario- Win vs Baltimore, or Colts or Texans loss clinches a playoff berth.

3. JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (10-4)

Remaining Schedule

at Denver Broncos

at Indianapolis Colts

vs Tennessee Titans

Jacksonville maintained their one game lead in the AFC South, but the Jaguars have a tough road game this week & Houston is breathing down their necks.

Clinching Scenario- Win vs Denver & Colts or Texans loss clinches a playoff berth.

4. PITTSBURGH STEELERS (7-7)

Remaining Schedule

at Detroit Lions

at Cleveland Browns

vs Baltimore Ravens

Pittsburgh currently leads the AFC North & holds the fourth seed in the AFC, but their position is precarious. The Steelers could still miss the playoffs entirely. Their schedule isn’t easy, with the rematch with Baltimore looming in the final week.

#5 LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (10-4)

Remaining Schedule

at Dallas Cowboys

vs Houston Texans

at Denver Broncos

The Chargers ended Kansas City’s run of postseason appearances & greatly enhanced their own playoff chances, but that finishing schedule is brutal.

Clinching Scenario- Win vs Dallas & Colts or Texans loss clinches a playoff berth.

6. BUFFALO BILLS (10-4)

Remaining Schedule

at Cleveland Browns

vs Philadelphia Eagles

vs New York Jets

Buffalo stayed alive in the AFC East race, but the Bills need help to surpass New England.

Clinching Scenario- Win vs Cleveland & Colts or Texans loss clinches a playoff berth.

7. HOUSTON TEXANS (9-5)

Remaining Schedule

vs Las Vegas Raiders

at Los Angeles Chargers

vs Indianapolis Colts

Houston kept pace in the AFC South. The Texans have a rather favorable schedule to make the playoffs & possibly catch Jacksonville for the division title.

8. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (8-6)

Remaining Schedule

vs San Francisco 49ers

vs Jacksonville Jaguars

at Houston Texans

Indianapolis showed some fight in their first game with the un-retired Philip Rivers, but they’re now 2 games back in the division & a full game back of a playoff spot. That schedule is super tough, as well.

9. BALTIMORE RAVENS (7-7)

Remaining Schedule

vs New England Patriots

at Green Bay Packers

at Pittsburgh Steelers

Baltimore eliminated Cincinnati & kept pace in the AFC North. The schedule is tough, but it will probably come down to that final game in Pittsburgh.

Eliminated This Week

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (6-8)
MIAMI DOLPHINS (6-8)
CINCINNATI BENGALS (4-10)

Games to Watch

Week 16– Jacksonville Jaguars @ Denver Broncos

Denver wants to hold onto the #1 seed & Jacksonville wants to stay one game ahead of Houston in the AFC South. This game will go a long way into determining both.

Week 16– San Francisco 49ers @ Indianapolis Colts

The Niners are solidly in the playoffs, but if the Colts want their last two games against division rivals to mean anything, it feels like this is a must win for them.

Week 16– New England Patriots @ Baltimore Ravens

Patriots could clinch a playoff berth. Baltimore could keep pace with or tie Pittsburgh. Buffalo could catch New England.

Week 17– Houston Texans @ Los Angeles Chargers

Both teams are in good shape to make the playoffs, though nothing is clinched yet. This game will go a long way in determining seeding.

Week 18– Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers

The AFC North always seems to come down to these two and it certainly appears as if this final week matchup will settle it once again.

My AFC Picks

  1. Denver Broncos (14-3) AFC West Champions
  2. New England Patriots (14-3) AFC East Champions
  3. Houston Texans (12-5) AFC South Champions
  4. Baltimore Ravens (8-9) AFC North Champions
  5. Buffalo Bills (13-4)
  6. Jacksonville Jaguars (12-5)
  7. Los Angeles Chargers (10-7)

NFC

1. LOS ANGELES RAMS (11-3) -x

Remaining Schedule

at Seattle Seahawks

at Atlanta Falcons

vs Arizona Cardinals

The Rams seem like the most complete team in the NFL. This week’s trip to Seattle has massive implications.

2. CHICAGO BEARS (10-4)

Remaining Schedule

vs Green Bay Packers

at San Francisco 49ers

vs Detroit Lions

Chicago jumped back ahead of Green Bay in the NFC North race with a huge matchup against their bitter rivals this week. The Bears can seize total control of the division & keep their hopes alive for the #1 seed with a win.

Clinching Scenario- Win vs Green Bay & Lions loss clinches a playoff berth.

3. PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (9-5)

Remaining Schedule

at Washington Commanders

at Buffalo Bills

vs Washington Commanders

Any Philadelphia win or Dallas loss will give the Eagles the NFC East for a second consecutive season.

Clinching Scenario- Win vs Washington or Cowboys loss clinches the NFC East.

4. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (7-7)

Remaining Schedule

at Carolina Panthers

at Miami Dolphins

vs Carolina Panthers

The two games with Carolina will decide if Tampa Bay maintains their grip on the AFC South.

5. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (11-3)

Remaining Schedule

vs Los Angeles Rams

at Carolina Panthers

at San Francisco 49ers

Seattle has two tough division games sandwiched around a trip to Carolina that will determine their fate. The could end up anywhere from the #1 seed to the seventh seed.

Clinching Scenario- Win vs Los Angeles or Lions loss clinches a playoff berth.

6. SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (10-4)

Remaining Schedule

at Indianapolis Colts

vs Chicago Bears

vs Seattle Seahawks

The Niners have been quietly hanging around in the NFC West & they find themselves with a shot at not only winning the division but getting the #1 seed, as well.

Clinching Scenario- Win vs Indianapolis or Lions loss clinches a playoff berth.

7. GREEN BAY PACKERS (9-4-1)

Remaining Schedule

at Chicago Bears

vs Baltimore Ravens

at Minnesota Vikings

This week’s trip to Chicago will determine if Green Bay is taking the NFC North or battling for a wildcard spot.

Clinching Scenario- Win vs Chicago & Lions loss clinches a playoff berth.

8. DETROIT LIONS (8-6)

Remaining Schedule

vs Pittsburgh Steelers

at Minnesota Vikings

at Chicago Bears

Detroit is two games back in both the division and wildcard race, but they can still get either with a final week victory in Chicago & an extra loss for the Bears or two losses for Green Bay.

9. CAROLINA PANTHERS (7-7)

Remaining Schedule

vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

vs Seattle Seahawks

at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Those two games with Tampa will decide Carolina’s fate, unless they lose the first & drop the game vs Seattle & the Bucs beat Miami, then that last one is meaningless.

10. DALLAS COWBOYS (6-7-1)

Remaining Schedule

vs Los Angeles Chargers

at Washington Commanders

at New York Giants

Dallas is still alive, barely, but their only shot is the division & there is no margin for error. The Cowboys must win out & have Philly lose out.

Eliminated This Week

MINNESOTA VIKINGS (6-8)

Games to Watch

Week 16– Los Angeles Rams @ Seattle Seahawks

The biggest heavyweight fight of the year. Rams could all but clinch the NFC West with a win. A Seattle win would give them first place with a huge date with San Francisco looming in the final week.

Week 16– Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears

Whoever wins this one will be in control of the NFC North. Chicago has the tougher remaining schedule, but a win gives them essentially a 2 game lead.

Week 16– Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers

The winner would be in control of the NFC South with a chance to clinch the following week because both teams have difficult games in week 17.

Week 17– Chicago Bears @ San Francisco 49ers

Both teams could possibly clinch a playoff spot with a victory or set themselves up for a nervous week 18 with a loss.

Week 18– Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers

Regardless of how the Rams-Seahawks battle shakes down, this final week game will have major seeding implications.

My NFC Picks

  1. Los Angeles Rams (13-4) NFC West Champions
  2. Chicago Bears (12-5) NFC North Champions
  3. Philadelphia Eagles (11-6) NFC East Champions
  4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-8) NFC South Champions
  5. Seattle Seahawks (13-4)
  6. San Francisco 49ers (12-5)
  7. Green Bay Packers (11-5-1)

x- denotes clinched playoff berth

NFL Power Rankings: Week 16

#1 LOS ANGELES RAMS (11-3)

Previous: #1, won vs #13 Detroit, 41-34

Rams clinched a playoff berth. Big game this week in Seattle, but it feels like the NFC runs through LA.

Upcoming: at #3 Seattle

#2 DENVER BRONCOS (12-2) +2

Previous: #4, won vs #5 Green Bay, 34-26

Broncos got a statement victory & clinched a playoff berth. The AFC runs through Mile High.

Upcoming: vs #11 Jacksonville

#3 SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (11-3) -1

Previous: #2, won vs #21 Indianapolis, 18-16

Seahawks got a rather underwhelming win this week, big chance to wrest control of the NFC West and the NFC as a whole away from LA this week.

Upcoming: vs #1 LA Rams

#4 NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (11-3) -1

Previous: #3, lost vs #7 Buffalo, 35-31

Patriots missed their chance to clinch the AFC East, but they’re still in good shape to carry it.

Upcoming: at #15 Baltimore

#5 HOUSTON TEXANS (9-5) +1

Previous: #6, won vs #26 Arizona, 40-20

Texans are rolling right now. Can they make up that one game and wrest the division from Jacksonville?

Upcoming: vs #32 Las Vegas

#6 BUFFALO BILLS (10-4) +1

Previous: #7, won vs #3 New England, 35-31

Bills kept their slim hopes for the division title alive, they need New England to drop another.

Upcoming: at #31 Cleveland

#7 SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (10-4) +1

Previous: #8, won vs #30 Tennessee, 37-24

Niners still have a shot at getting the #1 seed in the NFC.

Upcoming: at #18 Indianapolis

#8 CHICAGO BEARS (10-4) +1

Previous: #9, won vs #31 Cleveland, 31-3

Bears jumped back into first in the NFC North and can pretty much lock it up with a win at home against Green Bay.

Upcoming: vs #10 Green Bay

#9 PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (9-5) +1

Previous: #10, won vs #32 Las Vegas, 31-0

Philly can clinch the NFC East with a victory or a Dallas loss.

Upcoming: at #26 Washington

#10 GREEN BAY PACKERS (9-4-1) -5

Previous: #5, lost at #4 Denver, 34-26

Packers lost first place in the NFC North, and even worse, they lost Micah Parsons for the season.

Upcoming: at #8 Chicago

#11 JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (10-4)

Previous: #11, won vs #28 NY Jets, 48-20

Jaguars are hitting their stride, but Houston is hot on their heels.

Upcoming: at #2 Denver

#12 LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (10-4)

Previous: #12, won at #20 Kansas City, 16-13

Huge win for the Chargers, taking a step closer to a playoff berth & eliminating the rival Chiefs.

Upcoming: at #20 Dallas

#13 DETROIT LIONS (8-6)

Previous: #13, lost at #1 LA Rams, 41-34

Lions have just about exhausted any margin for error, they pretty much need to win out.

Upcoming: vs #14 Pittsburgh

#14 PITTSBURGH STEELERS (8-6) +2

Previous: #16, won vs #18 Miami, 28-15

Steelers maintained their one game lead in the AFC North, the final week showdown with Baltimore probably decides their fate.

Upcoming: at #13 Detroit

#15 BALTIMORE RAVENS (7-7) +4

Previous: #19, won at #22 Cincinnati, 24-0

Impressive bounce back win for the Ravens, keeping pace in the AFC North.

Upcoming: vs #4 New England

#16 CAROLINA PANTHERS (7-7) -2

Previous: #14, lost at #25 New Orleans, 20-17

Carolina squandered a golden opportunity to seize control of the NFC South, still have 2 games versus Tampa.

Upcoming: vs #17 Tampa Bay

#17 TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (7-7) -2

Previous: #15, lost vs #24 Atlanta, 29-28

Tampa might have hit rock bottom this week, but Carolina couldn’t capitalize.

Upcoming: at #16 Carolina

#18 INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (8-6) +3

Previous: #21, lost at #2 Seattle, 18-16

Colts lost, again, but they hung tough & they’re still alive.

Upcoming: vs #7 San Francisco

#19 MINNESOTA VIKINGS (6-8) +4

Previous: #23, won at #17 Dallas, 34-26

Despite the win. Minnesota was eliminated from playoff contention.

Upcoming: at #29 NY Giants

#20 DALLAS COWBOYS (6-7-1) -3

Previous: #17, lost vs #23 Minnesota, 34-26

Dallas has no margin for error. Any loss or Philly win eliminates them.

Upcoming: vs #12 LA Chargers

#21 MIAMI DOLPHINS (6-8) -3

Previous: #18, lost at #16 Pittsburgh, 28-15

Miami is eliminated from playoff contention.

Upcoming: vs #25 Cincinnati

#22 KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (6-8) -2

Previous: #20, lost vs #12 LA Chargers, 16-13

Kansas City is eliminated from playoff contention AND they lost Patrick Mahomes.

Upcoming: at #30 Tennessee

#23 ATLANTA FALCONS (5-9) +1

Previous: #24, won at #15 Tampa Bay, 29-28

Atlanta is eliminated from playoff contention.

Upcoming: at #27 Arizona

#24 NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (4-10) +1

Previous: #25, won vs #14 Carolina, 20-17

New Orleans is eliminated from playoff contention.

Upcoming: vs #28 NY Jets

#25 CINCINNATI BENGALS (4-10) -3

Previous: #22, lost at #19 Baltimore, 24-0

Cincinnati is eliminated from playoff contention.

Upcoming: vs #19 Baltimore

#26 WASHINGTON COMMANDERS (4-10) +1

Previous: #27, won at #29 NY Giants, 29-21

Washington is eliminated from playoff contention.

Upcoming: vs #9 Philadelphia

#27 ARIZONA CARDINALS (3-11) -1

Previous: #26, lost at #6 Houston, 40-20

Arizona is eliminated from playoff contention.

Upcoming: vs #23 Atlanta

#28 NEW YORK JETS (3-11)

Previous: #28, lost at #11 Jacksonville, 48-20

Jets are eliminated from playoff contention.

Upcoming: at #24 New Orleans

#29 NEW YORK GIANTS (2-12)

Previous: #29, lost vs #27 Washington, 29-21

Giants are eliminated from playoff contention.

Upcoming: vs #19 Minnesota

#30 TENNESSEE TITANS (2-12)

Previous: #30, lost at #8 San Francisco, 37-24

Tennessee is eliminated from playoff contention.

Upcoming: vs #22 Kansas City

#31 CLEVELAND BROWNS (3-11)

Previous: #31, lost at #9 Chicago, 31-3

Cleveland is eliminated from playoff contention.

Upcoming: vs #6 Buffalo

#32 LAS VEGAS RAIDERS (2-12)

Previous: #32, lost at #10 Philadelphia, 31-0

Las Vegas is eliminated from playoff contention.

Upcoming: at #5 Houston

Week 15 NFL Picks

Last Week: 8-6 / 10-4

Season: 136-72 / 110-98

Atlanta Falcons (+5.5) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tampa needs this, and they should win, but I don’t trust them to cover.

TB 24-21

Cleveland Browns @ Chicago Bears (-7)

Bears bounce back from a hard fought loss with a resounding victory.

CHI 31-13

Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots (+1.5)

I like the Patriots to sew up the division at home.

NE 27-24

Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals (+1.5)

I like the Bengals to keep their slim hopes alive with a home win.

CIN 34-30

New York Jets (+12.5) @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Jaguars continue their march to the playoffs, but that’s a lot of points to cover.

JAX 27-17

Los Angeles Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs (-4.5)

In a must win game, at home, against a division rival, I am not picking against KC.

KC 24-17

Arizona Cardinals (+9.5) @ Houston Texans

Texans will win, but Arizona keeps it close.

HOU 24-17

Washington Commanders @ New York Giants (-1.5)

An NFC East battle no one cares about, Giants might have a little more fight in them.

NYG 27-21

Las Vegas Raiders (+11.5) @ Philadelphia Eagles

Philly should win easily, but I don’t trust them to cover double digits.

PHI 30-21

Indianapolis Colts @ Seattle Seahawks (-10.5)

Seattle will roll as Indy’s season completely implodes.

SEA 38-13

Green Bay Packers @ Denver Broncos (+1.5)

I’ll take the home team Broncos & the points in this battle of Super Bowl contenders.

DEN 19-17

Tennessee Titans @ San Francisco 49ers (-12.5)

Niners will roll coming off their bye week.

SF 35-10

Carolina Panthers (-2.5) @ New Orleans Saints

Carolina keeps pace in the NFC South coming off their bye week.

CAR 20-17

Detroit Lions (+5.5) @ Los Angeles Rams

Detroit is desperate to keep winning and keeping their playoff hopes alive, but the Rams at home are too tough.

RAMS 31-27

Minnesota Vikings @ Dallas Cowboys (-6)

Cowboys keep their slim hopes alive and extinguish Minnesota’s.

DAL 30-13

Miami Dolphins (+3) @ Pittsburgh Steelers

Miami keeps the AFC playoff picture muddy with an impressive road win.

MIA 23-20

BJ & Da’Bears: Week 14 Recap & Week 15 Preview

Week 14 Recap

BJ & Da’Bears vs Achane in the Membrane

This was a meaningless game. Both of us were already eliminated, so just for my own amusement, I replaced most of my normal starters. The results were predictable.

Caleb Williams, who I played simply because I have no other quarterback on my roster, was the only player that truly showed up.

The Los Angeles Chargers defense also had a nice game.

Anyway, let’s leave this one behind and move on to the Toilet Bowl.

Caleb Williams, QB, Chicago Bears. Photo Credit- Mike Roemer/ Associated Press

Week 15 Preview

TOILET BOWL: ROUND 1

BJ & Da’ Bears vs Make Fantasy Great Again

Previous Matchup

Week 11 Result

In our first matchup, I made managerial mistakes that cost me a victory, which has been one of the stories of my season.

I’m a heavy underdog in this one, and for good reason. We’ll see how it plays out.

My keys to the week:

  1. Caleb Williams– In our first matchup, Williams managed only 6 points. If I’m to advance, I need him to be closer to a QB1 this time.
  2. Trey McBride– McBride has been my MVP this season and I need him to continue his run of great performances.
  3. Tetairoa McMillan– McMillan has played himself into consideration to be one of my keepers for next season. I need another strong showing.
  4. Kyle Monangai– A good showing from Monangai against a tough Browns defense would warm my heart, even if my team should lose.

Trash Pandas: Week 14 Recap & Week 15 Preview

Week 14 Recap

Trash Pandas vs Xandar Guardians

Big win for the Pandas! I didn’t clinch a playoff spot, but nearly did. I won or tied every position battle except kicker, where I lost 4-0.

I listed Trevor Lawrence as one of my keys since I opted to start him over Justin Herbert. That decision paid off. Lawrence outscored Herbert & won the QB matchup for me, 23-19.

The story of this game was told on Thursday night, when Jahmyr Gibbs romped for 30 points. I rode my season long MVP to another victory & probable playoff berth.

Even with Bhayshul Tuten putting up a zero, I won the RB battle 30-18.

WR had the makings of a disaster when Rome Odunze & Marvin Harrison Jr were both ruled out. I picked up Isaac TeSlaa & Luther Burden III. Neither had big games, but they did enough to win the WR matchup 14-13.

Brock Bowers didn’t have a great matchup, but he still won the TE battle 10-0.

I already had the game won when Monday night came around, but I kept the Philadelphia Eagles defense in and they were able to equal the output of the Denver Broncos.

Jahmyr Gibbs, RB, Detroit Lions. Photo Credit- Paul Sancya/ Associated Press

Week 15 Preview

Trash Pandas vs Lancaster Lightning

Projected Lineups & Reserves

Previous Matchup

Week 7 Result

In the first matchup with Lancaster Lightning, I rebounded from one of my worst fantasy football weeks & exploded for one of my best of the season. I wouldn’t mind history repeating itself.

It’s pretty simple, a win this week guarantees a playoff spot and gives me a chance to win the division & get a higher seed. I probably still make the playoffs with a loss, but I’d be relegated to the 7th or 8th seed and a tough first round matchup.

My keys to the week:

  1. Jahmyr Gibbs- He’s been everything I expected when I drafted him in the first round & I’ll ride him as far as he can take me. The matchup this week isn’t the greatest, but Gibbs is capable of putting up big numbers in any game.
  2. Brock Bowers- My receivers are a big question mark once again this week, so I need Bowers to make up the difference. The Raiders don’t have a good matchup, but the offense runs through Bowers.
  3. TreVeyon Henderson- Buffalo has a porous run defense so New England should take advantage. I really hope they’ve come to the realization that Henderson should be getting the bulk of the carries.
  4. Trevor Lawrence- Right now, I’m leaning heavily towards starting Lawrence again. His ceiling isn’t as high as Herbert’s, but I think he’s got a safer floor.