NFL Free Agency Primer

Free agency opens in a little over 2 weeks. I’m going to do a Chicago Bears centric primer in the next week or two, but in this piece I’m going to look at the top potential free agents, by position, as ranked by Pro Football Focus.

I’ll also look at some players that aren’t free agents but could be on the move. Let’s start with the most important position:

Quarterbacks

There’s always intrigue surrounding the QB position, but this year seems especially intriguing. The lack of top tier prospects in the draft adds to that. I think at least five teams will have a new starting QB at the beginning of the 2026 season.

Malik Willis, QB, Green Bay Packers. Photo Credit- Patrick McDermott/ Getty Images

Malik Willis, GB

Willis is the most intriguing name among potentially available quarterbacks because no one is entirely sure what you’re going to get.

Willis has played sparingly as Jordan Love’s backup in Green Bay, but he has flashed encouraging growth, potential and play making abilities.

There are several QB needy teams, but a lack of long term solutions. Willis represents the closest thing and his upside is worth the short term gamble.

To me, two teams make the most sense. First is the Miami Dolphins. Miami is going to either trade or release Tua Tagovailoa, either way they do not have the cap flexibility to spend big on a quarterback. Finding a cheaper alternative with upside would be ideal.

Enter Willis. New Dolphins head coach, Jeff Hafley was in Green Bay with Willis the last two seasons, the connection is there. Willis could be the long term replacement for Tua or at the very least a decent placeholder until Miami clears their books and is able to land their next franchise quarterback.

The Arizona Cardinals are in a similar position as Miami. They are likely trading Kyler Murray or releasing him. The Cardinals cap situation will not be as dire and they have a decent short term replacement on the roster in Jacoby Brissett. Still, Willis would make sense.

The Cardinals new head coach, Mike LaFleur, is the brother of Packers head coach, Matt LaFleur. The offense would be similar and you can bet the LaFleur brothers have exchanged intel on Willis.

Like with Miami, Willis would be a short term gamble for Arizona that could pay off handsomely, at the very least he’d be a decent placeholder or backup QB until the Cardinals land their franchise quarterback.

Prediction- Malik Willis signs with the Arizona Cardinals.

I think Arizona has more cap flexibility than Miami and they don’t appear to be initiating a full tear down and rebuild like the Dolphins. I think the Cardinals have the edge.

Aaron Rodgers, QB, Pittsburgh Steelers. Photo Credit- Matt Freed/ Associated Press

Aaron Rodgers, PIT

Rodgers will either be a Steeler in 2026 or he’ll retire. I just cannot see him returning and starting over with another team.

In typical Rodgers fashion, though, we might not get an official answer until early summer. We should be able to get an idea by how Pittsburgh addresses the quarterback situation in free agency.

Prediction- Aaron Rodgers retires.

Daniel Jones, QB, Indianapolis Colts. Photo Credit- Zach Bolinger/ Associated Press

Daniel Jones, IND

Jones was poised to be this year’s version of Sam Darnold until he suffered an Achilles injury in week 14. That injury muddies the picture a bit.

Jones performed well enough during 2025 to still garner interest on the open market, despite the uncertainty of his availability to start the 2026 season.

Jones’ best option is returning to Indianapolis where he had success in Shane Steichen’s system. I am sure this will be the end result, the question is whether the Colts can work out a long term deal or if they have to use the franchise tag.

Prediction- The Indianapolis Colts franchise tag Daniel Jones.

Other QBs

  • Kyler Murray is traded to the New York Jets.

I think Arizona will find it easier to trade Murray than Miami will with Tua. I think the Jets make the most sense. The Jets aren’t going with an unproven QB with upside this time, they did that with Justin Fields and it failed miserably. Murray is a higher end placeholder until the Jets can take their shot at a franchise QB in 2027.

  • Kirk Cousins signs with the Pittsburgh Steelers.

All signs point to Cousins being released by the Atlanta Falcons. He’ll certainly be seeking a starting opportunity and will garner significant interest. Miami & Arizona won’t be able to pay as much and Pittsburgh also offers the best chance of making the playoffs. A Cousins signing would signal that the Steelers are expecting Aaron Rodgers to retire.

  • The Las Vegas Raiders trade Geno Smith to the Miami Dolphins in exchange for Tua Tagovailoa and draft compensation.

The Raiders clear the path to the starting QB role for presumptive #1 pick Fernando Mendoza and get the rookie a higher end veteran backup. The Dolphins, meanwhile, get Tua off their books and a cheaper starting quarterback.

Edge Rushers

There’s some big names at the top of the free agent edge rusher list, if they actually get to free agency. It’s not a deep group, but pass rushers always have a market.

Trey Hendrickson, EDGE, Cincinnati Bengals. Photo Credit- Brooke Sutton/ Getty Images

Trey Hendrickson, CIN

Playing at a high level at premium position makes Hendrickson the biggest name on the free agent market. He is coming off an injury plagued season, but he’s only a year removed from leading the NFL in sacks. Despite being on the wrong side of 30, Hendrickson will have a robust market… if he gets to free agency.

The Cincinnati Bengals do have the option of using the franchise tag, or re-signing him and one would think that with the state of their defense that keeping the best defensive player on the roster would be a priority.

It really depends on how deeply the relationship between Hendrickson & the Bengals was damaged by last year’s contract stalemate.

Prediction- The Cincinnati Bengals franchise tag Trey Hendrickson.

With as bad as their defense is, I cannot imagine Cincinnati allowing Hendrickson to walk with minimal compensation.

Odafe Oweh, LAC

After being acquired from Baltimore mid-season, Oweh had a breakout. I believe the Chargers are intent on signing Oweh to an extension and they may use the franchise tag to give themselves time to work one out.

Prediction- The Los Angeles Chargers franchise tag Odafe Oweh.

Jaelan Phillips, PHI

Phillips was very good for the Eagles after arriving via a deadline trade with Miami. He seems like a very good fit for the Philly defense and GM Howie Roseman usually finds a way to keep his guys.

However, Philly also has a history of letting edge rushers walk when they get too expensive.

Edge rushers always have a robust market & Phillips will have multiple suitors. Ultimately, I think he lands with a familiar foe.

Prediction- Jaelan Phillips signs with the New England Patriots.

More Edge Rushers

  • Boye Mafe (SEA) signs with the Las Vegas Raiders.
  • Joey Bosa (BUF) signs with the San Francisco 49ers.
  • Khalil Mack re-signs with the Los Angeles Chargers.
  • Jadaveon Clowney (DAL) signs with the Carolina Panthers.
  • Arnold Ebiketie (ATL) signs with the Washington Commanders.
  • Cameron Jordan re-signs with the New Orleans Saints.
  • Bradley Chubb (MIA) signs with the Tennessee Titans.
  • Maxx Crosby- Because I’m a Bears fan, I feel the need to address Crosby as the rumors swirl. I would love to add him at the right price, but I just don’t think this kind of swing for the fences is Ryan Poles’ style. Crosby may get traded, but I don’t think it will be to Chicago.

Wide Receivers

WR is another position that usually has a pretty robust free agent market, but I don’t think the class is very deep in 2026.

George Pickens, WR, Dallas Cowboys. Photo Credit- Jack Dempsey/ Associated Press

George Pickens, DAL

Pickens had a breakout season for the Dallas Cowboys, establishing himself as a true #1 receiver. He’s going to want #1 WR money, the problem is that Dallas is already paying CeeDee Lamb as a #1.

Dallas can, and probably will, use the franchise tag on Pickens, whether or not they can sign him to a long term deal is open for debate.

Prediction- The Dallas Cowboys franchise tag George Pickens.

Alec Pierce, WR, Indianapolis Colts. Photo Credit- Trevor Ruszkowski/ Imagn Images

Alec Pierce, IND

Pierce had a breakout season for the Indianapolis Colts & Indy would certainly like to keep him. There is probably a bigger payday out there for Pierce, though.

As the top receiver on the open market (not counting the aforementioned Pickens), Pierce will have a healthy market.

Prediction- Alec Pierce signs with the New England Patriots.

New England spent big last offseason but they still have ample cap space to make significant additions. Drake Maye nearly won the MVP award with a past his prime Stefon Diggs as his #1 target. Pierce could help Maye reach new heights.

Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Photo Credit- Kim Klement-Neitzel/ Imagn Images

Mike Evans, TB

Evans will reportedly explore his options in free agency, and he’ll certainly have opportunities, but I just can’t imagine him playing anywhere other than Tampa.

Prediction- Mike Evans re-signs with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

More WRs

  • Deebo Samuel (WAS) signs with the San Francisco 49ers.
  • Jauan Jennings (SF) signs with the Carolina Panthers.
  • Rashid Shaheed re-signs with the Seattle Seahawks.
  • Romeo Doubs (GB) signs with the Las Vegas Raiders.
  • Wan’Dale Robinson (NYG) signs with the Pittsburgh Steelers.
  • The Chicago Bears trade DJ Moore to the Buffalo Bills for draft compensation.

I’m pretty certain the Bears will move Moore to create cap space and I also believe that GM Ryan Poles will do right by Moore and trade him to a contender rather than a rebuilding team. Josh Allen finally gets the #1 WR he’s been missing.

Cornerbacks

Top end corners rarely hit free agency, when one does, they are in high demand. Not a deep group of free agent cornerbacks this year.

Jamel Dean, CB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Photo Credit- Jayne Kamin-Oncea/ Imagn Images

Jamel Dean, TB

Dean will be the top corner on the market if Tampa Bay lets him get there. The Buccaneers usually do their utmost to retain their key players, but Dean’s price tag may be too high.

Prediction- Jamel Dean signs with the Los Angeles Rams.

More CBs

  • Jaylen Watson (KC) signs with the New York Jets.
  • Tariq Woolen (SEA) signs with the Philadelphia Eagles.
  • Mike Hilton (IND) signs with the Minnesota Vikings.
  • Nahshon Wright (CHI) signs with the Dallas Cowboys.

Offensive Tackles

OTs are probably the most overpaid players in free agency. Above average tackles get paid like perennial All-Pros.

Rasheed Walker, OT, Green Bay Packers. Photo Credit- Mark Hoffman/ Milwaukee Journal Sentinel/ USA Today Network via Imagn Images

Rasheed Walker, GB

Walker is set to get paid as the top available offensive tackle, whether he’s worth the contract or not is up for debate.

Prediction- Rasheed Walker signs with the Cleveland Browns.

Other OTs

  • Jermaine Eluemunor re-signs with the New York Giants.
  • Braxton Jones (CHI) signs with the Detroit Lions.

Defensive Tackles

Teams don’t let true game changing DTs hit free agency, as evidenced by this rather weak class.

John Franklin-Myers, DT, Denver Broncos. Photo Credit- Ron Chenoy/ Imagn Images
  • DJ Reader (DET) signs with the Cincinnati Bengals.
  • Calais Campbell re-signs with the Arizona Cardinals.
  • David Onyemata (ATL) signs with the Green Bay Packers.
  • John Franklin-Myers (DEN) signs with the Atlanta Falcons.

Running Backs

The RB position had been devalued over the years, but there has been a slight resurgence in recent years. This year’s class is pretty deep. I expect a lot of movement here.

Kenneth Walker III, RB, Seattle Seahawks. Photo Credit- Doug Benc/ Associated Press

Kenneth Walker III, SEA

The Seahawks will probably prioritize extensions for WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba & CB Devon Witherspoon & retaining other free agents. Despite the uncertainty of Zach Charbonnett’s availability, the champs seem likely to let the Super Bowl MVP walk.

Prediction- Kenneth Walker III signs with the Tennessee Titans.

The Titans have the most cap space in the NFL, they can afford to splurge a little. Nothing helps a young QB, like Cam Ward, more than a consistent rushing attack.

Breece Hall, RB, New York Jets. Photo Credit- Stacy Revere/ Getty Images

Breece Hall, NYJ

Hall was the Jets most consistent offensive weapon in 2025, but he was noticeably unhappy with the dumpster fire raging in NY and was openly disappointed to not have been dealt at the deadline.

Getting Hall to agree to a long term extension seems highly unlikely this offseason, but the Jets won’t let him go for nothing.

Prediction- The New York Jets franchise tag Breece Hall.

Travis Etienne, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars. Photo Credit- Nathan Ray-Seebeck/ Imagn Images

Travis Etienne, JAX

The emergence of 2025 rookie Bhayshul Tuten means it’s highly unlikely that Jacksonville will use the franchise tag or match what Etienne could garner on the open market.

Prediction- Travis Etienne signs with the Kansas City Chiefs.

KC will have to do some creative accounting to make this work, but I believe there is mutual interest here. The Chiefs haven’t had a dual threat RB of this caliber since before Isaiah Pacheco’s injury.

Rico Dowdle, RB, Carolina Panthers. Photo Credit- Cory Knowlton/ Imagn Images

Rico Dowdle, CAR

Dowdle was at times spectacular for the Panthers in 2025, but he took a backseat to Chuba Hubbard down the stretch. He’ll be looking for greener pastures and more of a primary role in 2026.

Back to back solid seasons with two different teams will make him an attractive RB to many teams.

Prediction- Rico Dowdle signs with the Denver Broncos.

Dowdle would take over the lead role in a backfield with 2025 rookie RJ Harvey. He offers similar skills, with less injury issues than JK Dobbins.

More RBs

  • Tyler Allgeier (ATL) signs with the Washington Commanders.
  • Najee Harris (LAC) signs with the Green Bay Packers.
  • JK Dobbins (DEN) signs with the Philadelphia Eagles.
  • Rachaad White (TB) signs with the Carolina Panthers.
  • Kenneth Gainwell (PIT) signs with the New Orleans Saints.

Gainwell could be an indication of Aaron Rodgers’ intentions. He was a favorite of Rodgers in Pittsburgh, if he walks you can bet Rodgers isn’t returning.

Linebackers

Off ball LB is another position that has been devalued over the years. This is a pretty decent class of free agents, though.

Devin Lloyd, LB, Jacksonville Jaguars. Photo Credit- Darren Yamashita/ Imagn Images

Devin Lloyd, JAX

Lloyd had a career year in 2025 and is set to cash in as the top available off ball linebacker.

The Jaguars will try to retain him, but he’ll likely get a bigger payday elsewhere.

Prediction- Devin Lloyd signs with the Cincinnati Bengals.

With the state of their defense, the Bengals will be linked to all the top available defensive players.

Devin Bush, CLE

Bush resurrected his career in Cleveland, but with their cap situation I doubt the Browns can re-sign him.

Prediction- Devin Bush signs with the Washington Commanders.

Nakobe Dean, PHI

When healthy Dean has been phenomenal for the Eagles, unfortunately he’s had injury issues dating back to college. Philly has depth and I think they’ll let Dean walk.

Prediction- Nakobe Dean signs with the Buffalo Bills.

Leo Chenal, KC

Chenal has never had a full time role in KC, but he’s flashed plenty of potential. There will multiple teams hoping he’s ready for a bigger role at a rather affordable price.

Prediction- Leo Chenal signs with the Chicago Bears.

I expect the Bears to release Tremaine Edmunds to create cap space, they could replace him at a fraction of the cost.

Other LBs

  • Bobby Wagner (WAS) signs with the Dallas Cowboys.
  • Alex Anzalone (DET) signs with the New York Jets
  • Demario Davis re-signs with the New Orleans Saints.
  • Tremaine Edmunds (CHI) signs with the Tennessee Titans after being released.

Tight Ends

Big time TEs don’t usually hit free agency, but this year is a bit different. There is at least one superstar and one potential superstar about to hit the open market.

Kyle Pitts, TE, Atlanta Falcons. Photo Credit- Dale Zanine/ Imagn Images

Kyle Pitts, ATL

Pitts finally had that breakout season we’ve been waiting for since he was the fourth overall pick in 2021.

The Falcons could use the franchise tag on him, but my hunch says he’ll hit the open market and be in demand.

Prediction- Kyle Pitts signs with the Denver Broncos.

Pitts could be the ‘joker’ Sean Payton has talked about his offense needing.

Travis Kelce, KC

Kelce will either return to Kansas City or retire to become Mr. Swift. My hunch says he’s back for at least one more year.

Prediction- Travis Kelce re-signs with the Kansas City Chiefs.

Other TEs

  • Dallas Goedert signs with the New York Jets.
  • Isaiah Likely (BAL) signs with the Atlanta Falcons.
  • David Njoku (CLE) signs with the Philadelphia Eagles.
  • Chig Okonkwo (TEN) signs with the New England Patriots.

Safeties

Safety is yet another position that has been devalued over the years. There is a pretty good class of free agent safeties this year, however.

Kevin Byard, S, Chicago Bears. Photo Credit- Brooke Sutton/ Getty Images

Kevin Byard, CHI

Byard returned to his All-Pro form in 2025 and I think re-signing him is one of the Bears’ offseason priorities.

Prediction- Kevin Byard re-signs with the Chicago Bears.

More Safeties

  • Bryan Cook (KC) signs with the Cincinnati Bengals.
  • Kamren Curl (LAR) signs with the Chicago Bears.
  • Coby Bryant (SEA) signs with the Las Vegas Raiders.
  • Reed Blankenship (PHI) signs with the Arizona Cardinals.
  • Jaquan Brisker (CHI) signs with the Pittsburgh Steelers.

Interior Offensive Linemen

All offensive linemen have a market, but it’s not a real deep class for 2026.

Tyler Linderbaum, OC, Baltimore Ravens. Photo Credit- Charles LeClaire/ USA Today Sports

Tyler Linderbaum, BAL

Because of rules that lump all offensive linemen into the same group, it is highly unlikely that the Baltimore Ravens would use the franchise tag on Linderbaum, though they would obviously like to keep him.

All-Pro offensive lineman always have a good market, no matter if they’re tackles, guards or centers like Linderbaum. If he gets to free agency, I expect him to become the highest paid center in the NFL

Baltimore would love to get a deal done before free agency begins.

Prediction- Tyler Linderbaum re-signs with the Baltimore Ravens.

Isaac Seumalo, PIT

Seumalo is probably the top guard to hit the open market, and he’ll have a decent market.

Prediction- Isaac Seumalo signs with the San Francisco 49ers.

More IOLs

  • David Edwards (BUF) signs with the New Orleans Saints.
  • Alijah Vera-Tucker re-signs with the New York Jets.
  • Kevin Zeitler (TEN) re-signs with the Tennessee Titans.
  • Joel Bitonio re-signs with the Cleveland Browns.
  • Connor McGovern (BUF) signs with the New England Patriots.

Power Rankings: Into the Offseason

These rankings are a bit of a combination of final rankings for 2025 & a look forward to 2026.

1. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (18)

The Super Bowl champions & they should be the favorites for next season. The road won’t be easy, the NFC is stacked and their own division is a juggernaut, but the Seahawks have the pieces to repeat.

2. LOS ANGELES RAMS (9)

Two special teams blunders cost them the NFC title against Seattle or we could be talking about the Rams repeating. Stafford has already said he’ll be back, so LA is definitely a Super Bowl contender.

3. DENVER BRONCOS (6)

If only Bo Nix hadn’t gotten hurt. The Broncos defense makes them contenders and the return of Nix and some upgrades on offense could make Denver the favorites in the AFC.

4. BUFFALO BILLS (4)

Buffalo fired Sean McDermott after bowing out of the playoffs, yet again. It had to happen, the Bills had hit their ceiling under McDermott. They still have Josh Allen, if they get him some reliable receivers maybe Joe Brady can get them over the hump.

5. SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (23)

The Niners had a helluva season despite numerous injuries to top level players. Most of those guys should return for the start of 2026. San Francisco has the horses to challenge for the NFC title in 2026.

6. CHICAGO BEARS (12)

Year one of Ben Johnson was magical, but the flaws were evident in Chicago. Caleb Williams could be a legit MVP candidate in year two under Johnson & if they can improve the defense just to respectable, the Bears are contenders.

7. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (25)

The Patriots made the Super Bowl & Drake Maye came in second in the MVP vote, but they were exposed in the Super Bowl. New England benefited from perhaps the easiest path to a Super Bowl, ever, and history has not been kind to Super Bowl runners up the following season.

8. HOUSTON TEXANS (13)

The Texans have the defense to make noise in the AFC, but there are questions surrounding CJ Stroud and the offense. Was his phenomenal rookie season the outlier? Is he just a mid quarterback being carried by a top notch defense?

9. PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (1)

The Eagles made a change at offensive coordinator, which was necessary, the question is did they get the right guy? If they can fix the offense, Philly is right there with Seattle & LA as NFC favorites.

10. JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (16)

Jacksonville had a great run in 2025, but fell short against Buffalo in the playoffs. If they can build on the positives from this season, the Jaguars should be right in the mix in 2026.

11. LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (14)

The Chargers produced yet another dud in the playoffs, but they have the pieces to make another run next year. I love the addition of Mike McDaniel as offensive coordinator.

12. GREEN BAY PACKERS (5)

The Packers started 2025 with Super Bowl dreams, only to be eliminated in the Wild Card round by their bitter rivals, the Chicago Bears. They lost their defensive coordinator and some key pieces are coming off injury, while others are likely departing in free agency. Can they overtake Chicago or hold off Detroit in a tough NFC North?

13. BALTIMORE RAVENS (2)

I’m not sure that moving on from John Harbaugh was the right move, but the fact is the Ravens are too talented to have missed the playoffs. I like the hire of Jesse Minter and if Lamar Jackson bounces back, Baltimore is a legit threat in the AFC.

14. DETROIT LIONS (8)

The Lions also have way too much talent to have missed the playoffs. Was it really all due to losing both their coordinators from 2024? I have to expect a bounce back in 2026.

15. ATLANTA FALCONS (22)

The Falcons were probably the best team in the NFC South at the end of the season, unfortunately their early season inconsistency doomed them to an early offseason. I think Kevin Stefanski is the perfect head coach for this team. They have question marks, do they re-sign Kyle Pitts? Is Michael Penix Jr the answer at quarterback, and will he be ready for the start of the season?

16. DALLAS COWBOYS (28)

The Cowboys have an offense that can go toe to toe with anyone, but their defense needs serious work. Firing defensive coordinator Matt Eberflus was step one. Can Dallas fix their defense enough to contend in a stacked NFC?

17. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (3)

The Chiefs championship window is closed, but they can still be a playoff contender. How much time will Mahomes miss? Will Travis Kelce return? Can they get some young talent in to replace the aging stars?

18. CAROLINA PANTHERS (21)

The Panthers won the NFC South, albeit with a losing record, and they played the Rams tough in the playoffs. Carolina needs to find more consistency to take the next step.

19. MINNESOTA VIKINGS (19)

Despite the ups and downs of their 2025 season, the Vikings managed a winning record. Can JJ McCarthy make enough progress to get Minnesota into playoff contention?

20. CINCINNATI BENGALS (11)

If the Bengals can keep Joe Burrow healthy for a full season, they have the firepower to contend for a playoff spot. Cincinnati will ultimately go as far as their atrocious defense will allow them.

21. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (7)

The Buccaneers lost their grip on the NFC South and it feels like the bottom is about to drop out of this ship. The roster is aging and the rest of the division is getting better.

22. PITTSBURGH STEELERS (27)

The Steelers were willed to the playoffs by Mike Tomlin and Aaron Rodgers. Tomlin is gone and Rodgers almost surely is. Pittsburgh has no answer at quarterback and an overpriced and underperforming defense. New head coach Mike McCarthy has never been known for pushing a team to greater heights.

23. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (29)

2025 started so promising, then the bottom dropped out. Daniel Jones may miss a significant portion of 2026, and do they really want to bank on half a season of decent football from Jones? Colts have a tougher road ahead in 2026.

24. WASHINGTON COMMANDERS (10)

The Commanders had high hopes for 2025 but things spiraled out of control. Can they keep Jayden Daniels healthy in 2026? Washington had the oldest roster in the NFL last season, how much younger can they get?

25. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (32)

The Saints had one of the least talented rosters in 2025, but they battled nearly every week and showed some growth down the stretch. Surrounding Tyler Shough with more talent will be the key to how far they can go in 2026.

26. NEW YORK GIANTS (24)

John Harbaugh arrives to instill a winning culture in New York, which has been lacking since the end of the Tom Coughlin era. Can the Giants continue to develop Jaxson Dart?

27. LAS VEGAS RAIDERS (20)

The Raiders were a train wreck in 2025, but they have a shiny new head coach, fresh off winning the Super Bowl and they hold the number one pick in the draft, where they will presumably grab their franchise quarterback.

28. TENNESSEE TITANS (31)

The Titans brought in Robert Saleh as head coach and he, in turn, brought in Brian Daboll to help develop Cam Ward. I love both those moves. Tennessee, however, has a distinct lack of talent surrounding Ward.

29. ARIZONA CARDINALS (17)

New head coach Mike LaFleur will most likely have to navigate 2026 with Jacoby Brissett or some other bridge quarterback. Kyler Murray is most likely gone and the Cardinals will look to 2027 for their next franchise quarterback.

30. MIAMI DOLPHINS (30)

The Dolphins and new head coach Jeff Hafley will also be looking at veteran bridge quarterbacks as Tua Tagovailoa is most likely gone. Miami has some work to do to get back to contender status.

31. CLEVELAND BROWNS (26)

The Browns are a mess, what’s new? 2026 could be a long year as they figure out if Shedeur Sanders can be a legit starting quarterback. The defense figures to take a step back without defensive coordinator Jim Schwartz, as well.

32. NEW YORK JETS (15)

The Jets are looking like they could be the biggest dumpster fire in the NFL in 2026. Aaron Glenn overhauled practically his entire coaching staff as he desperately tries to prove he’s not in over his head.

(2025 Preseason Ranking)

N&D First Round Mock Draft 1.0

Other than the last two picks, the order of the first round of the 2026 draft is set. Because there’s no actual football this week, and also because it’s unreasonably cold, I felt it was time for my first mock draft of 2026.

Here we go:

1. LAS VEGAS RAIDERS
Photo Credit- Michael Reaves/ Getty Images

Fernando Mendoza, QB, Indiana

The Raiders hit the reset button after one season under Pete Carroll. Vegas is expected to hire Klint Kubiak as head coach & he’ll certainly want to hit reset at the quarterback position, too. Geno Smith was an unmitigated disaster this past season & with Vegas holding the top pick it seems inevitable that Mendoza will don silver & black in 2026. He’s the only quarterback in the 2026 draft worthy of a top 15 pick.

2. NEW YORK JETS
Photo Credit- Associated Press

Rueben Bain Jr, EDGE, Miami-Fl

The Jets desperately need a quarterback, but with Dante Moore returning to Oregon for one more year, they’re more likely to go with a bridge QB and stock up with draft capital for next year’s better class of signal callers. If the Jets stay in this spot, they should go with the best player available. There’s an argument to be made if that’s Bain or Arvell Reese, but Bain plays the more premium position. New York didn’t have a single interception this season, bolstering the pass rush should help rectify that.

3. ARIZONA CARDINALS
Photo Credit- Ric Tapia/ Getty Images

Spencer Fano, OT, Utah

The Cardinals are likely moving on from Kyler Murray, but there’s no viable replacement at this point in the draft. New head coach Mike LaFleur has offensive background, so I expect his first pick to be on that side of the ball. Grabbing the top tackle in the class is the way to go.

4. TENNESSEE TITANS
Photo Credit- Ben Jackson/ Getty Images

Arvell Reese, LB, Ohio State

The Titans could use some more weapons for second year quarterback Cam Ward, but with Robert Saleh taking the reins, I feel like defense is the direction they’ll go with this pick. Reese can play off ball linebacker or be an edge rusher. Saleh is well aware of how valuable an elite linebacker can be after coaching Fred Warner is San Francisco.

5. NEW YORK GIANTS
Photo Credit- Jason Mowry/ Getty Images

Carnell Tate, WR, Ohio State

After Malik Nabers & Cam Skattebo went down, the Giants dearth of offensive weapons was well apparent. New York uses another high draft pick on a wide receiver giving Jaxson Dart two prime targets.

6. CLEVELAND BROWNS
Photo Credit- Aaron M Sprecher/ Getty Images

Caleb Lomu, OT, Utah

The Browns will almost certainly focus on the offensive side of the ball in this draft. They could use receivers, but protecting Shedeur Sanders or whoever is under center should be a high priority, too. Lomu joins Utah teammate Spencer Fano as a top ten pick.

7. WASHINGTON COMMANDERS
Photo Credit- Michael Chang/ Getty Images

Keldric Faulk, EDGE, Auburn

Washington went all in after Jayden Daniels impressive rookie campaign and sported the oldest roster in the NFL. It fell flat, now the Commanders need to get younger across the board. Wide Receiver is an option here, but adding a young, physical specimen to the defensive line is too much for Dan Quinn to pass up.

8. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
Photo Credit- Bruce Yeung/ Getty Images

Jordyn Tyson, WR, Arizona State

The Saints found something in Tyler Shough, now they need to get him more weapons besides Chris Olave. Tyson could be the top receiver in the draft, despite some injury concerns.

9. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
Photo Credit- Associated Press

Peter Woods, DT, Clemson

The Chiefs championship window closed emphatically this season. They need to retool an aging roster to open it back up. Woods could be the heir apparent, while learning from defensive line stalwart Chris Jones.

10. CINCINNATI BENGALS
Photo Credit- Jason Mowry/ Getty Images

Caleb Downs, S, Ohio State

Is there any doubt that the Bengals will focus on defense in this draft? Cincinnati’s defense was historically bad, they need help everywhere. Edge rusher is a consideration, but none felt worthy of this pick. Downs might be the single best player in this class, but positional value pushes him almost out of the top ten.

11. MIAMI DOLPHINS
Photo Credit- Derick E Hingle/ Getty Images

Mansoor Delane, CB, LSU

I feel like new Dolphins head coach, Jeff Hafley, will use his first draft pick on the defensive side of the ball. Delane is the top cornerback in the draft and will lock down one half of the field for Miami.

12. DALLAS COWBOYS
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David Bailey, EDGE, Texas Tech

After trading away Micah Parsons, the Cowboys struggled to generate a consistent pass rush and their defense cratered. Enter Bailey. He’s a little undersized, but is a dynamic pass rusher that should help Dallas’ beleaguered defense.

13. LOS ANGELES RAMS (from Atlanta)
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Francis Mauigoa, OT, Miami-Fl

The Rams will remain a Super Bowl contender as long as Matthew Stafford returns at quarterback. Upgrading his protection should be high on the list of priorities for LA. Mauigoa is a thick and stout blocker that may slide inside to guard.

14. BALTIMORE RAVENS
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Jermod McCoy, CB, Tennessee

Baltimore was a complete disappointment across the board, but the defense was especially troubling. New coach Jesse Minter is a defensive guy and I think he’ll fix that, he starts with McCoy, a toolsy corner with shutdown upside.

15. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
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Sonny Styles, LB, Ohio State

LaVonte David is a franchise icon, but there’s no guarantee he’ll return next season. Styles could step in and be the next generation of great Buccaneers linebackers.

16. NEW YORK JETS (from Indianapolis)
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Makai Lemon, WR, USC

As I stated earlier, the Jets need a quarterback and here would be a decent spot to grab Ty Simpson, but with the draft capital they have for 2027, I think NY is better served going elsewhere. Lemon is a YAC demon and would be a great complement to Garrett Wilson.

17. DETROIT LIONS
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Olaivavega Ioane, OG, Penn State

Detroit’s secondary was their biggest liability in 2025, but that was mostly due to injury. The interior offensive line was a close second. Ioane is the best pure guard in the draft and a day one starter.

18. MINNESOTA VIKINGS
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Jeremiyah Love, RB, Notre Dame

Love deserves to be a top ten pick, but positional value pushes him down the board. The Vikings need an upgrade at running back as Aaron Jones is aging & Jordan Mason underwhelmed. Love has the ability to become Minnesota’s Jahmyr Gibbs.

19. CAROLINA PANTHERS
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Avieon Terrell, CB, Clemson

There’s several directions the Panthers can go here, but I have them taking Terrell to complement Pro Bowl corner Jaycee Horn.

20. DALLAS COWBOYS (from Green Bay)
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Kayden McDonald, DT, Ohio State

I have Dallas sticking to defense with their second first round pick and taking a stout run defender in McDonald.

21. PITTSBURGH STEELERS
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Ty Simpson, QB, Alabama

I honestly believe Aaron Rodgers has played his last game in the NFL, so Pittsburgh definitely needs a quarterback. Here they have Simpson fall into their laps.

22. LOS ANGELES CHARGERS
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Caleb Banks, DT, Florida

I have the Chargers adding an interior pass rushing threat in Banks, who needs to improve against the run to be a true three down defender.

23. PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
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Kadyn Proctor, OT, Alabama

Lane Johnson is a future Hall of Famer, but he was hampered by injuries and his career is winding down. Proctor is a massive human being that could benefit from some seasoning learning behind Johnson.

24. CLEVELAND BROWNS (from Jacksonville)
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KC Concepcion, WR, Texas A&M

Cleveland needs weapons for whoever they have under center. Concepcion can be used as a deep threat or YAC monster.

25. CHICAGO BEARS
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TJ Parker, EDGE, Clemson

I’m certain the Bears are going to be defense heavy in this draft, especially the pass rush. Parker fits the profile of what Dennis Allen prefers in defensive ends.

26. BUFFALO BILLS
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Denzel Boston, WR, Washington

Buffalo has needed to give Josh Allen a true number one receiver since Stefon Diggs’ departure, now that the McDermott era is over maybe they finally will.

27. SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS
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Kenyon Sadiq, TE, Oregon

George Kittle will likely miss most of the 2026 season, so why not take a prospect that has drawn comparisons when he falls in your lap?

28. HOUSTON TEXANS
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CJ Allen, LB, Georgia

I have Houston taking a page from Philly’s book and taking Georgia defenders even when you don’t really need them. Allen is a great, athletic coverage linebacker.

29. LOS ANGELES RAMS
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Colton Hood, CB, Tennessee

Rams use their own first round pick to add a potential shutdown corner to their defense.

30. DENVER BRONCOS
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Christen Miller, DT, Georgia

The Broncos could lose a piece or two off their defensive line. Miller is a good run defender and has shown flashes as an interior pass rusher.

31. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS *
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AJ Haulcy, S, LSU

I have the Patriots adding a tone setter to the back end of their defense. Haulcy is a do everything type of safety.

32. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS *
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Keith Abney II, CB, Arizona State

Seattle doesn’t have many needs, corner may be one. Abney is a fast, physical corner with positional versatility.

*These draft positions are not finalized yet

Super Bowl Week Thoughts

The Big Game

No offense to either team, but this is the most underwhelming Super Bowl matchup since at least Super Bowl LVI in 2022, pitting the Rams against the Bengals. At least that one had the Dr. Dre halftime show to look forward to, Bad Bunny has some big shoes to fill.

The New England Patriots are, perhaps, the least likely Super Bowl team of my lifetime. They were 5-12 last season, fired their coach and had a second year quarterback.

They rode the easiest schedule in the NFL to a 14-3 record and the AFC East division crown, but I, personally, didn’t think they’d go far in the postseason. They were facing a potential gauntlet of good defenses, as well as a dangerous Buffalo Bills team & Josh Allen.

Luckily, for them, they got to face playoff Justin Herbert & CJ Stroud, which mitigated the effects of those respective stout defenses. Then, they were gifted a matchup with the Denver Broncos without injured quarterback Bo Nix.

If you don’t think Nix’s absence was the difference in that game, then you didn’t watch that game.

Suffice it to say, I haven’t been high on the Patriots and I continue not to be. They’ve proven me wrong most of the season, maybe they’ll do so again.

The Seattle Seahawks, on the other hand, have impressed me for much of the season. I had my doubts about Sam Darnold’s ability to come through in the playoffs, but he pretty much erased them in the NFC Championship against the Los Angeles Rams.

The Seahawks are a juggernaut. They boast one of the best defenses in the NFL. They can hurt you on the ground or in the air. Even their special teams are dangerous.

I’m expecting a blowout. I don’t think the Patriots are on the same level as Seattle. The Seahawks are battle tested after 3 matchups with the Rams and two with the San Francisco 49ers over the last 2 months. New England has benefited from a soft schedule and some insane luck.

Give me the Seahawks (-4.5) & the over 45.5.

Final Score Prediction

Seattle 38

New England 13

MVP Pick

Kenneth Walker III

Coaching Carousel

Unofficially, this year’s coaching carousel is over. The Raiders cannot finalize the deal with Seattle OC Klint Kubiak until after the Super Bowl, but all ten openings have been filled. Here’s how I would rank the team-coach pairings:

  1. Atlanta Falcons- Kevin Stefanski: Love this pairing. Stefanski accomplished a lot in Cleveland with far less than he’s inheriting in Atlanta. The Falcons are my early favorites to win the NFC South in 2026 after this hire.
  2. New York Giants- John Harbaugh: More than anything, the Giants needed a culture change after being also rans for the better part of a decade. Harbaugh is a proven winner and he has pieces to work with on both sides of the ball in New York.
  3. Las Vegas Raiders- Klint Kubiak: Kubiak doesn’t have the extensive resume that Ben Johnson had, but he was this year’s version. The hottest up and coming offensive play caller in the league. Vegas and minority owner, Tom Brady, coveted but didn’t land Johnson last year. This year, with the first overall pick, the job is more enticing and they land Kubiak, even if they had to wait awhile.
  4. Tennessee Titans- Robert Saleh: I’ve always liked Saleh as a head coach, you’ve gotta love having a coach who you know can whip the opposing coach’s ass in a fight, and I like this pairing even if I’m normally skeptical of pairing a defensive head coach with a young, developing franchise quarterback. Bringing in Brian Daboll as offensive coordinator & Cam Ward’s QB guru was a wise first move for Saleh.
  5. Baltimore Ravens- Jesse Minter: Minter was one of the hotter names among coordinators possibly becoming first time head coaches, and it’s easy to understand why. Everywhere he’s been, he’s produced high level defenses. It’s interesting that a coach from the Harbaugh tree replaces a Harbaugh, but if he can help the talented Ravens right the ship, so be it.
  6. Arizona Cardinals- Mike LaFleur: I only rank this pairing so low because it’s obvious LaFleur was Arizona’s second choice after Klint Kubiak. Still, LaFleur is a good hire. He’s saddled with a Kyler Murray problem, but if the Cardinals can sort that out they should be okay.
  7. Buffalo Bills- Joe Brady: I’m one of the few that wasn’t totally shocked that Buffalo fired Sean McDermott and I absolutely believed it needed to happen. The Bills had peaked under his leadership and they were wasting the prime of Josh Allen’s career. A change needed to happen, I’m just lukewarm on the hiring of Brady. Sure, Allen won an MVP with Brady calling plays, but he was already a star when Brady took over. Call me a cynic, but I think Brian Daboll had more to do with Allen’s ascendancy than Brady. This just feels like preserving continuity on a system that wasn’t achieving its ultimate goals.
  8. Miami Dolphins- Jeff Hafley: It’s not that I don’t think Hafley is a good coach, it’s the fact that, more than anything, Miami needed a culture change and it remains to be seen if Hafley can deliver that. What’s more, I think he was the Dolphins Plan B. I believe they really wanted John Harbaugh, they fired Mike McDaniel only after Harbaugh was fired by Baltimore. They were completely snubbed in that pursuit. Even more, Hafley has a tough job ahead, Miami has a Tua problem that they need to fix, as well as getting tougher and more physical on both sides of the ball.
  9. Pittsburgh Steelers- Mike McCarthy: McCarthy’s Pittsburgh roots and even his connection to Aaron Rodgers make this seem like a good match, but to me this signals the Steelers are willing to keep staying the course. Pittsburgh, despite making the playoffs, needs a complete overhaul. They need to find a new franchise quarterback instead of these one year stop gap measures, they need to get younger & they have way too much money invested on the defensive side of the ball for the results. Pittsburgh is used to hiring a coach and having him stick around for the better part of two decades, that won’t happen with McCarthy.
  10. Cleveland Browns- Todd Monken: I guess I shouldn’t be surprised by anything Cleveland does, but this is completely underwhelming. Monken is in no way, shape or form an upgrade from Stefanski and even worse, he probably cost them one of the best defensive coordinators in the NFL in Jim Schwartz. If the Browns defense falls apart without him and Monken can’t develop Shedeur Sanders, Cleveland will be back on this list next year.

The 2026 Cycle

Because it’s never too early to start thinking about which teams may be searching for a coach next, here’s the coaches I have on the “Hot Seat” watch for 2026:

Hot

Zac Taylor, Cincinnati Bengals- Taylor is the only coach in the AFC North returning in 2026, which is mildly surprising. I think he was saved by Joe Burrow’s injury & the fact that Cincinnati’s ownership is averse to paying coaches not to coach. Much like McDermott in Buffalo, you have to wonder if the Bengals are wasting Joe Burrow’s prime with a subpar head coach.

Aaron Glenn, New York Jets- Glenn’s first season in New York was an unmitigated disaster and if the Jets don’t show some marked improvement, his tenure could be short lived. Finding a serviceable quarterback is job one for Glenn & the Jets.

Todd Bowles, Tampa Bay Buccaneers- I wouldn’t have been surprised if Bowles had been fired after Tampa Bay collapsed in 2025. He’ll start 2026 on the hot seat and the NFC South should be much more competitive. If the Buccaneers don’t reclaim the division, Bowles could be gone.

Todd Monken, Cleveland Browns- Even though he was just hired, I think Monken is already on thin ice. Cleveland has done one and done with head coaches before and this feels like a real possibility. Developing Shedeur Sanders and not having the defense collapse without Jim Schwartz around will be the keys.

Lukewarm

Shane Steichen, Indianapolis Colts- After an epic collapse in 2025, Steichen and Colts’ general manager Chris Ballard will be under close scrutiny in 2026. Daniel Jones’ injury muddies the picture even more because I have no idea what they’ll do at quarterback because they’ve clearly lost faith in former top five pick Anthony Richardson.

Dan Quinn, Washington Commanders- It was only a year ago that Washington was coming off a run to the NFC Championship and going all in on an expected championship window. Things have changed drastically. Offensive Coordinator Kliff Kingsbury is gone & the Commanders have the oldest roster in the NFL. Jayden Daniels had an injury plagued season, raising questions about his long term durability. His season ending injury was inexcusable on Quinn’s part, as it happened on a designed run late in a game Washington had no chance of winning.

Brian Schottenheimer, Dallas Cowboys- Schottenheimer makes this list simply because of the volatility of Jerry Jones and the perennial underachieving of the Cowboys. I thought Schottenheimer did a fine job in his first season, the defense really let him down, though, and the architect of that is now gone.

Cold, but…

Dan Campbell, Detroit Lions- Most wouldn’t think Campbell was on the hot seat, but if Detroit has another disappointing season like 2025, he most certainly will be. The question needs to be asked if the Lions success was due more to the two coordinators who left or to Campbell’s leadership. The 2026 season should give us the answer.

Nick Sirianni, Philadelphia Eagles- The Eagles are a year removed from winning the Super Bowl, but I think it’s safe to say that Sirianni will be under close scrutiny for 2026. Another CEO type head coach, whose success may have stemmed more from his coordinators than his own leadership.

Kevin O’Connell, Minnesota Vikings- It appears that there was friction between O’Connell and former Vikings GM Kwesi Adofo-Mensah, but that doesn’t take O’Connell off the hook for 2026. It would be very unwise, in my opinion, but if the Vikings fall further behind in the NFC North and JJ McCarthy doesn’t show signs of improvement, O’Connell could be shown the door.

Matt LaFleur, Green Bay Packers- If you listen to some Packers fans, LaFleur should have been axed this year. That’s just ridiculous, in my opinion, but if Green Bay can’t overtake Chicago in 2026, those voices will get louder.

Da’ Bears

2025 was one of the most exciting seasons for me and my fellow Chicago Bears fans in quite some time. From the insane comebacks that just kept getting more absurd to seeing Caleb Williams develop into a true franchise quarterback to beating the hated Green Bay Packers & winning the NFC North, then beating the Packers again to eliminate them from the playoffs. Wow! What a ride!

Now, it’s time to make sure this team continues its upward trajectory and doesn’t take a step backward. The contention window is officially open and we need to seize it.

I have only one minor concern on the offensive side of the ball and that’s left tackle, due to Ozzy Trapilo’s injury. As I said, it’s a minor concern because I don’t expect any major move here. The Bears will either sign a veteran to hold down the spot in Trapilo’s absence or fill the void in house like they did in the playoff game versus the Rams.

The Bears don’t have as much cap room as previous years, so there’s a possibility guys like DJ Moore, Cole Kmet or D’Andre Swift could get traded or released to give them more flexibility, but those three could also just simply have their contracts restructured.

Personally, I’d like all three back, but if one gets moved it’ll probably be Moore. Moore just doesn’t produce up to the level of his salary and he’ll very likely fall further down the target order behind Colston Loveland, Luther Burden III & Rome Odunze. Moore could be traded for a day three draft pick and a cheaper third receiver brought in.

Some have speculated that Moore could be traded to somewhere like Las Vegas or Tennessee, I understand that because the need is there and so is the draft capital, but that’s not how Ryan Poles operates.

If he’s going to trade Moore I think it would be to a contender, he did that with Roquan Smith, Khalil Mack & even Justin Fields. He’ll do right by Moore. I’d keep an eye on teams like the Buffalo Bills, Denver Broncos, Kansas City Chiefs or Pittsburgh Steelers.

Things are a bit different on the defensive side of the ball. Dennis Allen really did a tremendous job this season considering what he had to work with, but this unit needs work at all three levels.

The Bears need for a pass rusher is well documented, but don’t expect them to pursue any of the big fish. Quit dreaming about trading for Maxx Crosby or signing Trey Hendrickson. Chicago simply doesn’t have the cap space for a move like that.

If the Bears address defensive end at all in free agency, it’ll likely be on a cheaper, one year deal. Bringing in a player like Dallas’ Jadaveon Clowney on a deal like that might not be a bad idea. I think the Bears will most likely look to the draft to fill this need, it’s a good draft for edge rushers.

Both Grady Jarrett & Gervon Dexter were disappointments this season, though Jarrett played better down the stretch as he got healthier. Again, I think the Bears main focus will be on the draft, but signing a guy like Detroit’s DJ Reader to a cheap, one year deal could be in the cards.

Linebacker is where I expect the Bears to make their biggest splash in free agency, though it won’t be anywhere close to a tsunami. Tremaine Edmunds is the most likely cap casualty on this roster. He’s a fine player, he’s just vastly overpaid. They may just restructure, but I wouldn’t be surprised if they release him outright.

TJ Edwards had an injury marred season and he’s likely to miss time to start next season, so the Bears could be in the market for two linebackers. Two names to keep on eye on in free agency: Kansas City’s Leo Chenal is young and has shown flashes and he’ll come relatively cheap. New Orleans’ Demario Davis is older but still produces at a high level and he has familiarity with Dennis Allen.

Also, I think it should be a priority for Chicago to re-sign D’Marco Jackson.

Nahshon Wright had a nice season for the Bears, nice enough that he’s probably now out the Bears price range. Jaylon Johnson & Kyler Gordon should be fully healthy for the start of 2026, and hopefully Gordon can stay healthy. This is a different defense when he’s on the field. Some think Johnson could be a trade candidate for cap purposes, but I doubt it. The Bears would be thin at corner without him as Tyrique Stevenson seems to falling out of favor with this coaching staff.

Again, don’t expect a big splash in free agency at corner, but one name to keep an eye on is New Orleans’ Alontae Taylor.

Both of the Bears starting safeties are free agents and I’d love to get them both back. Economics may limit them to only one and if so, I believe the priority should be Kevin Byard over Jaquan Brisker. Byard just produces more, provides valuable leadership & doesn’t have the injury concerns that Brisker does.

I think the Bears could very likely draft a new starter at safety. (I dropped my first Bears mock draft last week).

On special teams, I fully expect kicker Cairo Santos & punter Tory Taylor to hold the same jobs next season. I think re-signing return man Devin Duvernay should be a priority.

One final note on the Bears, offensive coordinator Declan Doyle has departed to take the same position with Baltimore, where he’ll call the plays. Running backs coach Eric Bienemy also left to become the Chiefs offensive coordinator. This is a good thing. Bears coaches are in demand because they had success. This is also not a problem because Ben Johnson remains the mastermind behind the offense. I’m not concerned in the least about who they may bring in as OC.

Chicago Bears 7 Round Mock Draft

January Edition

Usually by this time I’m working on my third first round mock and probably my second Bears full mock, but the Chicago Bears just had one of their most exciting seasons in recent memory, so I’ve been lagging behind on my mock drafts.

Being snowed in today, I thought it was a good time to do my first Bears mock draft. For the first time in years, the Bears aren’t picking in the top half of the first round. I’m also of the belief that this draft will be heavy on the defensive side of the ball.

With that being said, let’s kick it:

Round 1, Pick #25

Kayden McDonald, DT, Ohio State

Photo Credit- James Black/ Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Houston offered me a pretty attractive trade package to move down just a few spots, but I knew I’d miss out on McDonald if I took it, so I stayed put.

The Bears need help all along their defensive line. Gervon Dexter had a disappointing season. Grady Jarrett came on a bit down the stretch, but he’s clearly on the downside of his career, as is Andrew Billings, who had a decent season as Chicago’s primary early down run stuffer.

McDonald will be the replacement for Billings, perhaps as soon as year one. He’ll be the tone setter on the defensive line that the Bears sorely need.

Known more for his run defense than his pass rush, McDonald has the power and juice to be a force and help make life easier for the Bears primary pass rushers.

Round 2, Pick #57

Dillon Thieneman, S, Oregon

Photo Credit- Ali Gradischer/ Getty Images

Both Bears starting safeties, Kevin Byard & Jaquan Brisker, are free agents and there is a good chance at least one of them will not be back. My best guess is Byard returns while Brisker takes a bigger payday elsewhere.

Thieneman has a skill set that mirrors Brisker. He’s a stout run defender with better than average ball skills. He’s also position flexible as he has the ability to play nickel corner as well.

Replacing Brisker with Thieneman will allow Byard to continue playing the style of safety that earned him All-Pro honors this season.

Round 3, Pick #89

Taurean York, LB, Texas A&M

Photo Credit- Aaron M. Sprecher/ Getty Images

TJ Edwards fractured his fibula in the Wildcard game against Green Bay & Tremaine Edmunds could be a cap casualty. D’Marco Jackson showed some ability, but he needs to be re-signed. Linebacker is an under the radar need for the Bears.

York is undersized and will need to add some play strength at the NFL level, but he’s a smart and instinctive player. He’s been the defensive signal caller since his sophomore season.

York is equally adept at run defense and in coverage.

Round 4, Pick #129

Tyreak Sapp, EDGE, Florida

Photo Credit- David Rosenblum/ Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Lack of a consistent pass rush has been well noted in Chicago. Montez Sweat is good on one edge & Austin Booker has shown flashes but the Bears need to add more pass rushers.

I think they’ll address that in free agency, that makes this pick more palatable. Sapp is more of a stout edge defender against the run than he is a pass rusher, a lot like Dayo Odeyingbo. He fits the size profile that Dennis Allen prefers for his defensive ends, though.

As a fourth round pick, Sapp should be able to find an early down rotational role with the Bears defense.

Round 5, Pick #163

Aaron Anderson, WR, LSU

Photo Credit- Justin Ford/ Getty Images

DJ Moore could possibly be traded to free up cap space, regardless the Bears could use depth at wide receiver.

Anderson has blazing speed and incredible after the catch ability. Smaller in stature, he projects strictly as a slot receiver, where he would back up Luther Burden III.

Anderson also offers return ability.

It’s never a bad idea to add LSU wide receivers.

Round 7, Pick #239

Drew Allar, QB, Penn State

Photo Credit- Isaiah Vazquez/ Getty Images

The Bears are set at quarterback, Caleb Williams established himself as the franchise this season & Tyson Bagent is one of the better backups in the NFL, hence the Bears extended him before the season.

Bagent’s status as one of the best backup quarterbacks is exactly why the Bears taking a seventh round flyer on Allar’s upside is an extremely smart play. Bagent could draw significant interest from quarterback desperate teams.

Or, Ben Johnson can help Allar fix some of his issues and start to realize his vast potential and possibly drawing trade interest himself.

Round 7, Pick #241

Sam Roush, TE, Stanford

Photo Credit- Thearon W. Henderson/ Getty Images

Roush could challenge Durham Smythe for the third tight end role. He’s a good blocker and a better receiver than Smythe.

He has the speed to run the seam routes that Ben Johnson seems to favor for his tight ends.

Championship Sunday Picks

I want to pick Denver at home because everyone is going New England because Bo Nix is out. I thought the Patriots were the beneficiary of the NFL’s softest schedule, but they’ve impressed me in the playoffs. NE (-3.5)

Patriots 20-16

Third matchup between these division rivals, having split their two regular season battles. Sam Darnold wasn’t good in the Rams win, but he led an epic comeback in the Seahawks victory, which Darnold will we get? I’m banking on decent and Seattle’s defense and home field advantage to carry them. SEA (-2.5)

Seahawks 24-21

Playoff Record- 7-3 / 7-3

My Evolving Super Bowl Pick

Seahawks over Patriots

Coaching Carousel

With the Buffalo Bills firing of Sean McDermott, ten NFL teams have made coaching changes since the end of the season (Tennessee & the New York Giants fired their coaches midseason), three have already been filled; John Harbaugh to the New York Giant, Kevin Stefanski to the Atlanta Falcons & Jeff Hafley to the Miami Dolphins.

I’m offering my predictions of what coaches end up where. I’m listing the openings in descending order of what I believe are the best openings.

Buffalo Bills

It’s always somewhat surprising when a playoff team parts ways with their head coach, but I can’t say I’m shocked the Bills fired McDermott. The Bills have hit a ceiling under McDermott, perennial contenders that can never get over the hump.

This season they had their best chance yet, with no Kansas City or Baltimore in their path, yet they’re out after the divisional round. It feels, to me and many others, that Buffalo was squandering the prime years of one of the all time great quarterbacks, Josh Allen. Something had to change.

The aforementioned Allen is the reason why I have this as the number one opening. Every and any prospective head coach has to be tripping over themselves to line up an interview. They would inherit an immediate Super Bowl contender. I also have to wonder if Harbaugh & Stefanski are having second thoughts after accepting jobs before this news dropped.

This is a tough opening to predict, partly because it’s so recent and no rumors are circulating, yet, but also because I’m not sure what the Bills will be looking for.

In many ways, this reminds me of when Tampa Bay moved on from Tony Dungy to Jon Gruden. Like the Bills, Tampa had had success under Dungy but couldn’t get over the hump.

When thinking in those terms, it would seem that Buffalo would want a coach with an established track record. The problem is there aren’t many out there.

Harbaugh and Stefanski have taken other jobs, Mike Tomlin seems like he will take at least a year off. Pete Carroll doesn’t make sense. Mike McCarthy could be an option, but I’m lukewarm on that.

There is one possibility with a long track record of success, and I’m just speculating here because it would be enormous and petty at the same time. Bill Belichick in Buffalo would send shockwaves through the NFL.

The other thing to consider is Josh Allen’s preference. Could Buffalo promote from within and make offensive coordinator Joe Brady their next head coach? Allen did win an MVP under Brady’s leadership. Brian Daboll is another name to consider, Daboll played a big role in developing Allen into the superstar he is now. Daboll was a colossal disappointment as the Giants head coach, though.

I have no insight here, I’m just making a prediction. I’m making this prediction solely because I want the stories this would generate.

My Pick:

Bill Belichick Photo Credit- Vincent Carchietta/ Reuters

Baltimore Ravens

Baltimore was my preseason pick to represent the AFC in the Super Bowl and I wasn’t alone. The Ravens fell well short, completely missing the playoffs and there seemed to be a disconnect between Harbaugh and Lamar Jackson.

Still, the Baltimore job is right there with Buffalo in desirability. They have a superstar quarterback in his prime and a roster built to contend immediately.

Unlike Buffalo, we’ve had time to hear rumors regarding the Ravens job. Chargers defensive coordinator Jesse Minter is a hot name, but I question it due to his closeness with the Harbaugh family.

Other names I’ve heard are Seattle offensive coordinator, Klint Kubiak, though they might have to wait awhile on him, Buffalo offensive coordinator Joe Brady, but Buffalo might just promote him, San Francisco defensive coordinator Robert Saleh and former Dolphins coach Mike McDaniel.

Ultimately, I think this will come down to how well they vibe with Jackson. My prediction is just a gut feeling.

My Pick:

Robert Saleh Photo Credit- Brooke Sutton/ Getty Images

Tennessee Titans

The Titans got a jump start on their coaching search when they fire Brian Callahan back in October. We’ve been able to hear rumors regarding this job for months.

The Titans have a lot of holes in their roster, but they appear to have their franchise quarterback in Cam Ward. This won’t be a quick turnaround, though Tennessee does have plenty of cap space to add talent, but there is a foundation for improvement.

My understanding is that Tennessee is down to three finalists, San Francisco defensive coordinator Robert Saleh, Kansas City offensive coordinator, Matt Nagy & Green Bay defensive coordinator Jeff Hafley.

Because of Titans’ General Manager Mike Borgonzi’s ties to Kansas City, I’ve long thought Nagy was the front runner here. If he learnt from his mistakes as the head coach of the Chicago Bears, this could be a decent hire.

My Pick:

Matt Nagy Photo Credit- Mark Konezny/ USA Today Sports

Cleveland Browns

I think the Browns job could be more attractive than many think. They have a ferocious defense and a stellar 2025 rookie class. They also have a plethora of draft capital for this year and next.

The drawbacks with the Cleveland job are twofold. First is the quarterback issue. Is Shedeur Sanders the answer? With a weak quarterback draft, Sanders probably earned himself another season to answer that question. Of course, there is also Deshaun Watson and that albatross contract.

The second drawback is stability. Cleveland has been a picture of instability for years. Kevin Stefanski won Coach of the Year twice with the Browns, but lost his job due in large part to the gigantic swing and miss on Watson, and I’m not entirely sure how much input he had in that decision.

Any prospective coach has to weigh the pros and cons with the Browns. With that strong defense and average quarterback play, Cleveland could contend in a weak AFC North. However, if Sanders or Watson don’t provide that, Cleveland could be an embarrassment, again.

Some names I’m hearing are former Dolphins head coach Mike McDaniel, former Baltimore offensive coordinator Todd Monken, Jacksonville offensive coordinator Grant Udinski & Rams pass game coordinator Nate Scheelhaase.

My gut tells me Udinski could be the front runner if he agrees to keep defensive coordinator Jim Schwartz and Schwartz agrees to stay as DC. I’m not sure about that, so I think they promote from within and bring in Scheelhaase as OC.

My Pick:

Jim Schwartz Photo Credit- John Kuntz/ Cleveland.com

Pittsburgh Steelers

The Steelers are the epitome of stability and job security for head coaches. They are embarking on just their fourth head coaching search and their last 3 head coaches resigned or retired, they were never fired. As far as having a longer than usual runway for success, there is no better job than Pittsburgh.

With that being said, this is not an easy fix. The Pittsburgh Steelers remind me of the New Orleans Saints at the end of the Sean Payton/ Drew Brees era.

The Steelers had a long stretch of great success, and they’ve stayed competitive since the retirement of Ben Roethlisberger, but they haven’t been true contenders in a decade.

They’ve eschewed a full tear down and rebuild, kicking the can down the road as they keep posting winning records. The bill, however, is coming due.

The Steelers aren’t in the salary cap trouble the Saints were in when Payton walked away, but they do have quite a bit of aging, expensive veterans, especially on defense, and a lot of needs.

First, and foremost, they need a quarterback. I would be shocked if Aaron Rodgers returns without Mike Tomlin involved and they have no viable path to land a quarterback in the draft. There are a couple veterans they could possibly trade for, but I don’t see them going that route.

The Steelers job is going to be tough, but at least the new head coach can have confidence in knowing they’ll be given a long leash to see it through.

The Steelers history says they’re likely going with a young, under the radar guy. Nobody knew who Tomlin was when he landed the job, nor Bill Cowher before him. They’ve also leaned towards defensive minded head coaches, though that could change this time.

I’m not making a prediction on who the Steelers will hire because, honestly, I doubt I’ve heard of him, yet. If, and this is a big if, they do go with a name coach there are two names I’d keep an eye on.

Mike McCarthy is from Pittsburgh and he’s had a successful run with two franchises. Hiring an offensive minded coach would be beneficial in developing whoever is under center for the Steelers.

The other name is Brian Flores. Flores had a cup of coffee in Pittsburgh as their defensive coordinator and he seems to exude the Steeler mindset.

Las Vegas Raiders

The Raiders are the opposite of Pittsburgh as far as job security goes. They’ve been a hot mess for the entirety of the 21st century thus far. No organization has had more head coaches since 2000 than the Raiders, who have had four more than the next closest franchise (Cleveland).

Las Vegas is also notorious for giving their coaches a short leash. They’ve fired several coaches mid season & have also had multiple one year and done coaches.

All that aside, the Raiders have some attraction. They own the number one pick in this year’s draft and they’ll almost certainly take Indiana quarterback Fernando Mendoza. They have young superstars in Brock Bowers & Ashton Jeanty and they have a legend in the front office in Tom Brady.

Brady had a hand in hiring Pete Carroll, but I think it was more of a fall back option after they failed to lure Ben Johnson or Liam Coen to Vegas. I think the Raiders have more to offer this year and Brady will use his many contacts throughout the NFL to get his man.

I think Seattle offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak could be a strong consideration here, as could former Buffalo head coach Sean McDermott.

I’ve heard one rumor that makes a lot of sense to me because of a previous connection to Brady. That would be Minnesota defensive coordinator Brian Flores with former Giants head coach Brian Daboll as his offensive coordinator.

My Pick:

Brian Flores Photo Credit- Kirby Lee/ Imagn Images

Arizona Cardinals

The Cardinals have seen a lot of coaching turnover over the years as well, though not quite as bad as the Raiders or Browns. What makes this job the least desirable, in my opinion, is they have a quarterback problem,

It seems Arizona has finally come to the realization that they cannot win with Kyler Murray. The problem is they’re probably stuck with him. No other team will be willing to take on that contract and Arizona can’t afford to take the dead cap hit by releasing him. To compound matters, this is a weak quarterback draft and the Cardinals aren’t in a position to get a viable franchise option.

Arizona is not without some attractive pieces, but they also play in the toughest division in the NFL. I think it would be smart, on the Cardinals part, to poach the coaching staff of one of their division rivals. That’s why I think Seattle offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak, San Francisco defensive coordinator Robert Saleh & offensive coordinator Klay Kubiak & Rams offensive coordinator Mike LaFleur & defensive coordinator Chris Shula are strong candidates.

Another name to consider is recently fired Buffalo head coach Sean McDermott.

Ultimately, I think the Cardinals may be the last team to name a new head coach because their guy could be coaching in the Super Bowl.

My Pick:

Klint Kubiak Photo Credit- Jennifer Buchanan/ The Seattle Times

Grading the Hires

John Harbaugh Photo Credit- Ric Tapia/ Getty Images

New York Giants

The Giants, more than anything, needed a culture change and they moved quickly to hire former Baltimore head coach John Harbaugh after he was fired by the Ravens. Harbaugh brings a winning culture to the Big Apple and the Giants have a lot to build around including quarterback Jaxson Dart, wide receiver Malik Nabers, running back Cam Skattebo & edge rusher Abdul Carter.

Great hire by the Giants. My Grade- A

Kevin Stefanski Photo Credit- Stephen Lew/ Imagn Images

Atlanta Falcons

I love this fit of coach and team. The Falcons have been one of the more underachieving teams over the last several years, while Stefanski has won Coach of the Year twice with the Browns, who have been a hot mess seemingly forever.

Stefanski can build a winner with offensive stars like Bijan Robinson, Drake London & Kyle Pitts (provided they extend him) and an ascending defensive unit, even if he can’t develop Michael Penix Jr into a true franchise quarterback.

The Falcons might already be my favorites to win the NFC South in 2026. My Grade- A

Jeff Hafley Photo Credit- Mike Roemer/ Associated Press

Miami Dolphins

I think the Dolphins made the decision to make a coaching change when John Harbaugh became available, but they never got serious consideration.

Jeff Hafley was one of the hotter names amongst prospective first time head coaches, so it’s a decent fall back option for Miami.

More than anything I think Miami needs a culture change, it’s fair to wonder if Hafley brings that. My Grade- B

Power Rankings & Weekly Picks

AFC

1. HOUSTON TEXANS (13-5)

Previous: #1, won at Pittsburgh, 30-6

The Texans defense showed why they’re my pick to come out of the AFC. Defense travels. This team can win on the road and go all the way if CJ Stroud and the offense can limit the mistakes.

Next: at New England

2. DENVER BRONCOS (14-3)

Previous: #3, BYE

Broncos welcome Buffalo to Mile High after a week off. Denver is getting no respect, despite being the number one seed. They have a defense almost as good as Houston, though, and I think that’ll carry them to the next round.

Next: vs Buffalo

3. BUFFALO BILLS (13-5)

Previous: #5, won at Jacksonville, 27-24

Buffalo won a nail biter on the road in the wildcard round, and now they go back on the road to take on the number one seed. With Josh Allen, you can never count the Bills out, but the Broncos have a fierce defense.

Next: at Denver

4. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (15-3)

Previous: #4, won vs LA Chargers, 16-3

New England dominated the Chargers despite an off day for Drake Maye and the offense. Houston is a different animal entirely.

Next: vs Houston

5. JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (13-5)

Previous: #2, lost vs Buffalo, 27-24

Jaguars had a shot, but fell short versus Buffalo in the Wildcard round.

Next: Free Agency Frenzy

6. LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (11-7)

Previous: #6, lost at New England, 16-3

The Chargers offense didn’t show up for the playoffs.

Next: Finding a new Offensive Coordinator

7. PITTSBURGH STEELERS (10-8)

Previous: #7, lost vs Houston, 30-6

Ugly end to the Mike Tomlin era and possibly to Aaron Rodgers’ career.

Next: Finding a new Head Coach

NFC

1. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (14-3)

Previous: #2, BYE

Seahawks sat back and relaxed, now they welcome an even more depleted San Francisco than the last time they beat them.

Next: vs San Francisco

2. LOS ANGELES RAMS (13-5)

Previous: #3, won at Carolina, 34-31

Rams survived another sloppy performance against Carolina to earn a trip to frigid Chicago.

Next: at Chicago

3. CHICAGO BEARS (12-6)

Previous: #4, won vs Green Bay, 31-27

Bears pulled off a comeback for the ages to oust their bitter rivals.

Next: vs LA Rams

4. SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (13-5)

Previous: #5, won at Philadelphia, 23-19

The Niners keep winning despite all the devastating injuries.

Next: at Seattle

5. PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (11-7)

Previous: #1, lost vs San Francisco, 23-19

The offensive issues that have plagued Philly all season ultimately did them in.

Next: Finding a new Offensive Coordinator

6. GREEN BAY PACKERS (9-8-1)

Previous: #6, lost at Chicago, 31-27

One of the all-time playoff collapses has Green Bay mulling their future.

Next: Deciding Matt Lafleur’s Fate

7. CAROLINA PANTHERS (8-10)

Previous: #7, lost vs LA RAMS, 34-31

Panthers acquitted themselves well in the first postseason appearance of the Bryce Young era.

Next: Free Agency Frenzy

Divisional Round Picks

Regular Season: 170-102 / 134-138

Playoffs: 4-2 / 5-1

The Buffalo Bills pulled off a road win against a very good Jacksonville team & Josh Allen is probably the best player left in the playoffs, but going to Denver to play the well rested Denver Broncos and that ferocious defense is a tall task.

The Bills have been the sexy pick in the AFC, but not for me. I’ll take the home dogs to win outright. DEN (+1.5)

Broncos 23-20

The San Francisco 49ers keep winning despite all the injuries, so it’s tough to pick against them. The Seattle Seahawks, however, are the number one seed for a reason. Their defense is elite and they shut down San Fran just two weeks ago.

I’ll pick the Niners to cover in a loss. SF (+7.5)

Seahawks 17-13

Drake Maye was a little shaky in his postseason debut against LA. The New England Patriots cannot afford that against the Houston Texans and that dominant defense.

The game is in New England, and CJ Stroud and the Texans offense have their own issues, but I think the Houston defense will give the Patriots fits. HOU (+3)

Texans 19-13

This game should provide plenty of fireworks because both the Chicago Bears and the Los Angeles Rams have high powered offenses and suspect defenses.

On paper, this looks like a mismatch. The Rams have been elite for most of the season, but they have scuffled down the stretch. The Bears are the team you can never count out and it will be frigid at Soldier Field.

I’ll take the home dogs to cover, but LA will probably win. CHI (+3.5)

Rams 35-34

My Evolving Super Bowl Pick

Seattle Seahawks over Houston Texans

Power Rankings: Playoffs

I’m doing these rankings a bit differently during the playoffs. I’m going to rank the AFC & NFC teams separately. I’ll do a final, full ranking after the Super Bowl.

AFC

#1 HOUSTON TEXANS (12-5)

5th Seed

The Texans are my pick to come out of the AFC. There’s no team hotter, they’ve won 9 in a row after a sluggish start to the season. They boast the most ferocious defense in the NFL, and if CJ Stroud & the offense can provide a little bit and avoid mistakes, Houston will be a tough out. I know, as a wildcard, they’ll have to win at least two road games to get to the dance, but I trust this defense to get it done.

First Round: at Pittsburgh

#2 JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (13-4)

3rd Seed

The Jaguars are almost as hot as Houston, winners of 8 straight entering the playoffs. They’re more balanced than Houston, their offense is humming and the defense, while not as stingy as Houston, is opportunistic. They, too, might have to win two road games to get to the Super Bowl, but at least they start the trip with a home game.

First Round: vs Buffalo

#3 DENVER BRONCOS (14-3)

1st Seed

I have a lot of reservations about Bo Nix and the Broncos offense, but there is no doubt that Denver has a championship defense. They’ve got home field advantage throughout the playoffs, but we saw Jacksonville come into Denver and manhandle the Broncos just before Christmas. I’m not ready to pick them to go all the way.

First Round: BYE

#4 NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (14-3)

2nd Seed

The Patriots have had a remarkable season & Mike Vrabel could get Coach of the Year, and Drake Maye is in the running for MVP, but I just don’t see New England emerging from the AFC to make the Super Bowl, I don’t even see them making it to Championship Sunday. This is a young, inexperienced team that benefited greatly from a soft schedule, I just don’t think they’re ready, yet.

First Round: vs LA Chargers

#5 BUFFALO BILLS (12-5)

6th Seed

The Bills are the sexy pick to come out of the AFC because they’re familiar & because of Josh Allen, but I’ve been cooler on Buffalo than most all season. I do think they have a better chance than New England, the only reason I have them ranked lower is because I’m less confident they’ll make it out of the first round. Even if they do, I don’t think they could handle defenses like Denver & Houston on the road.

First Round: at Jacksonville

#6 LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (11-6)

7th Seed

I like the Chargers, but they have a track record of flaming out in the playoffs and they have a beat up offensive line and a beat up quarterback. They’re capable of stunning the Patriots on the road, but that’s as far as they’ll go. There is no way they’re winning two road playoff games, let alone the three it would take to make the Super Bowl.

First Round: at New England

#7 PITTSBURGH STEELERS (10-7)

4th Seed

The Steelers earned their playoff berth and you can never count out an Aaron Rodgers led team, but I’d be totally shocked if they made it past Houston, even if it is at home. If they somehow do, they’d almost certainly have to go on the road in the divisional round and that would be the end of the road.

First Round: vs Houston

NFC

#1 PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (11-6)

3rd Seed

And you thought it was controversial that I ranked Houston first in the AFC? The Eagles are my pick to make the Super Bowl from the NFC. Why? Because of their defense and their championship pedigree. They are the only team that I think is capable of going on the road and beating anyone, and they’re not going to lose at home.

First Round: vs San Francisco

#2 SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (14-3)

1st Seed

The Seahawks have the defense to make a Super Bowl run and they have home field advantage. That’s huge for them, because I definitely wouldn’t trust Sam Darnold to win a road playoff games. I think only Philly & the Rams are capable of winning in Seattle, but it won’t be easy.

First Round: BYE

#3 LOS ANGELES RAMS (12-5)

5th Seed

The Rams are certainly capable of making a run to the Super Bowl & a month ago they would have been my number one team, but they’ve looked sloppy down the stretch. They should certainly make it out of the first round, but I have to wonder how they’d fare on the road in Philly or Chicago.

First Round: at Carolina

#4 CHICAGO BEARS (11-6)

2nd Seed

Not how I wanted to see the Bears enter the playoffs, on a 2 game skid. Green Bay won’t be easy, but it’s in Chicago & the Bears just beat them there 3 weeks ago. They’re also guaranteed a home game in the divisional round if they win, so the path to Championship Sunday is doable.

First Round: vs Green Bay

#5 SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (12-5)

6th Seed

The Niners went from a shot at the number one seed to the sixth seed and a trip to Philly. Ouch. The Niners offense can hang with anyone, but their defense can’t stop anyone. Even if they somehow get past the first round, I don’t see them getting past either of their division rivals.

First Round: at Philadelphia

#6 GREEN BAY PACKERS (9-7-1)

7th Seed

The bad news? The Packers enter the playoffs on a four game losing streak. The good news? Aside from Micah Parsons, they should be at full strength. No Parsons, though, is a huge deal. They do get Chicago in the first round, a team they’ve dominated over the years, but this isn’t the same old Bears.

First Round: at Chicago

#7 CAROLINA PANTHERS (8-9)

4th Seed

The Panthers made the playoffs and they should be proud, even if they backed in. They did beat the Rams, in Carolina, at the end of November, but I’d be shocked if they did it again. Still, they should be proud to have made it this far.

First Round: vs LA Rams

Weekly NFL Picks

Wildcard Round

The Carolina Panthers beat the Los Angeles Rams in Carolina at the end of November, which might suggest this isn’t as big of a mismatch as it would appear.

The Rams haven’t been playing their best football the last several weeks, which might also suggest that the Panthers have a chance.

Carolina, however, quite literally backed into the playoffs. They are almost entirely devoid of any playoff experience on this roster. The Rams, meanwhile, are loaded with it.

I’m picking the Rams to win, but I’ll take the upstart Panthers & the points. CAR (+10.5)

Rams 31-23

The Green Bay Packers & Chicago Bears meet for a third time after splitting their two regular season games. Each team won on their own home field in two wildly competitive games.

The Packers rested their starters in the regular season finale, while the Bears played theirs in a lackluster effort against the Lions.

Green Bay has to be as confident as any seventh seed can be. They’ve had the Bears number for years, and it took an insane comeback, and some major luck, for Chicago to emerge victorious in their last matchup.

These Bears are different, though. Ben Johnson & Caleb Williams know the stakes of this one. The Bears can completely change the landscape of the NFC North with a victory.

They will. CHI (-1.5)

Bears 24-21

No Kansas City Chiefs, no Baltimore Ravens has a lot of people thinking this is the year for the Buffalo Bills to get over the hump in the AFC. I am not one of those.

First off, the Jacksonville Jaguars have been one of the hottest teams in the NFL over the last month & it could be argued that they are the best team in the AFC.

Josh Allen may be Superman, but Trevor Lawrence is playing just as good, right now.

I think the Jaguars defense is the difference. JAX (+1.5)

Jaguars 31-28

That was a costly loss in the season finale for the San Francisco 49ers. Not only did they the number one seed, they fell all the way to sixth. Instead of going to Carolina, they now have to travel to Philly.

The Philadelphia Eagles are the defending champions, but are somehow flying under the radar. Sure, their offense has been disjointed all season, but this is still a stellar defense with plenty of championship level talent on offense.

At home, I don’t see the Eagles getting beat, but San Fran will put up a fight. SF (+4.5)

Eagles 20-17

This matchup is one of the harder ones for me to forecast. The New England Patriots have been a great story this season, and Drake Maye deserves some of the MVP buzz, but they’ve really benefited from a soft schedule & I’m not sure they’re ready for the bright lights of playoff football.

The Los Angeles Chargers, on the other hand, are a team that never seems to be able to get over the hump and out of the first round. The Chargers have the talent, but their offensive line is banged up and so is Justin Herbert.

I’ll take the Patriots at home. NE (-3.5)

Patriots 27-20

The Pittsburgh Steelers earned this berth in the playoffs, and I’d never discount Aaron Rodgers in the playoffs, especially at home. But,

The Houston Texans are maybe the hottest team in football and they certainly have the best defense. The Texans are the scariest matchup for anyone in the AFC.

I just don’t see the Steelers pulling this off. HOU (-3.5)

Texans 20-13

My Evolving Super Bowl Pick

Philadelphia Eagles over Houston Texans