Playoff Picture: Week 14

AFC

Locks

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (11-2)

Remaining Schedule

Week 14– BYE

Week 15– vs Buffalo Bills

Week 16– at Baltimore Ravens

Week 17– at New York Jets

Week 18– vs Miami Dolphins

Patriots are in the drivers seat for the AFC East title, even with a loss to Buffalo they’d be a game up. Tight battle with Denver for #1 seed, might need to go 4-0 to get it.

DENVER BRONCOS (10-2)

Remaining Schedule

Week 14– at Las Vegas Raiders

Week 15– vs Green Bay Packers

Week 16– vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Week 17– at Kansas City Chiefs

Week 18– vs Los Angeles Chargers

Assuming Broncos take care of business versus Vegas, they’ll be tied with New England in the race for #1 seed. The road for Denver, however, is much tougher. Their last four games could all have major playoff implications. They could officially eliminate the Chiefs in week 17.

Controlling Their Destiny, for now

JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (8-4)

Remaining Schedule

Week 14– vs Indianapolis Colts

Week 15– vs New York Jets

Week 16– at Denver Broncos

Week 17– at Indianapolis Colts

Week 18– vs Tennessee Titans

Jaguars have two huge matchups with Indianapolis down the stretch. If they can split with Indy & take care of business against the Jets & Titans, they should get a playoff spot, possibly win the division.

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (8-4)

Remaining Schedule

Week 14– at Jacksonville Jaguars

Week 15– at Seattle Seahawks

Week 16– vs San Francisco 49ers

Week 17– vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Week 18– at Houston Texans

Colts are currently tied for first with Jacksonville & they play the Jaguars twice down the stretch. It feels like Indy needs to win both of those to have any shot at the playoffs because their schedule is very tough. After dominating the first two months of the season, the Colts could very well miss the playoffs.

BUFFALO BILLS (8-4)

Remaining Schedule

Week 14– vs Cincinnati Bengals

Week 15– at New England Patriots

Week 16– at Cleveland Browns

Week 17– vs Philadelphia Eagles

Week 18– vs New York Jets

Barring a complete collapse, the Bills should make the playoffs. The division, however, may be out of reach. Even if they win in New England, they’ll need help to overtake the Patriots.

LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (8-4)

Remaining Schedule

Week 14– vs Philadelphia Eagles

Week 15– at Kansas City Chiefs

Week 16– at Dallas Cowboys

Week 17– vs Houston Texans

Week 18– at Denver

The Chargers currently occupy a playoff spot and they trail Denver by 2 in the AFC West, but they have a very difficult schedule & they’ve had a rash of injuries. They control their own destiny for the postseason, but it might be fleeting.

BALTIMORE RAVENS (6-6)

Remaining Schedule

Week 14– vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Week 15– at Cincinnati Bengals

Week 16– vs New England Patriots

Week 17– at Green Bay Packers

Week 18– at Pittsburgh Steelers

Baltimore controls their own destiny because they have two games versus Pittsburgh and one against Cincinnati. Win those three and they should take the AFC North. Lose one or more and they likely miss the playoffs because their other games are tough.

PITTSBURGH STEELERS (6-6)

Remaining Schedule

Week 14– at Baltimore Ravens

Week 15– vs Miami Dolphins

Week 16– at Detroit Lions

Week 17– at Cleveland Browns

Week 18– vs Baltimore Ravens

Pittsburgh needs at least a split with Baltimore and probably a win versus Cleveland to have a shot. They have a slightly easier schedule than Baltimore, but they’ve been faltering.

Lurking

HOUSTON TEXANS (7-5)

Remaining Schedule

Week 14– at Kansas City Chiefs

Week 15– vs Arizona Cardinals

Week 16– vs Las Vegas Raiders

Week 17– at Los Angeles Chargers

Week 18– vs Indianapolis Colts

The battle with Kansas City is huge. With a win they could solidify their position and all but eliminate the Chiefs. Houston has a favorable schedule down the stretch and a real shot to make up the one game deficit and win the AFC South.

Needing Help

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (6-6)

Remaining Schedule

Week 14– vs Houston Texans

Week 15– vs Los Angeles Chargers

Week 16– at Tennessee Titans

Week 17– vs Denver Broncos

Week 18– at Las Vegas Raiders

The Chiefs run of AFC West titles is pretty much over and they have little margin for error in the race for a wildcard, but as long as they have a pulse you cannot count them out.

MIAMI DOLPHINS (5-7)

Remaining Schedule

Week 14– at New York Jets

Week 15– at Pittsburgh Steelers

Week 16– vs Cincinnati Bengals

Week 17– vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Week 18– at New England Patriots

The Dolphins need to run the table to have any chance. A tall task, but possible, especially since New England might have nothing to play for in the final week.

CINCINNATI BENGALS (4-8)

Remaining Schedule

Week 14– at Buffalo Bills

Week 15– vs Baltimore Ravens

Week 16– at Miami Dolphins

Week 17– vs Arizona Cardinals

Week 18– vs Cleveland Browns

Cincy dug a deep hole for themselves during Joe Burrow’s absence, but somehow they’re still alive. Buffalo isn’t necessarily a must win, if they can win their last 4 they could have a shot.

My Picks

  1. DENVER BRONCOS (AFC West Champion)
  2. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (AFC East Champion)
  3. HOUSTON TEXANS (AFC South Champion)
  4. CINCINNATI BENGALS (AFC North Champion)
  5. BUFFALO BILLS
  6. JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
  7. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

NFC

Locks

LOS ANGELES RAMS (9-3)

Remaining Schedule

Week 14– at Arizona Cardinals

Week 15– vs Detroit Lions

Week 16– at Seattle Seahawks

Week 17– at Atlanta Falcons

Week 18– vs Arizona Cardinals

The week 16 battle with Seattle looms large, it could decide the division & possibly the #1 seed.

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (9-3)

Remaining Schedule

Week 14– at Atlanta Falcons

Week 15– vs Indianapolis Colts

Week 16– vs Los Angeles Rams

Week 17– at Carolina Panthers

Week 18– at San Francisco 49ers

Again, that week 16 matchup with the Rams is huge. Seattle will make the playoffs, but if they lose to LA & San Francisco they could end up with the 7 seed.

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (8-4)

Remaining Schedule

Week 14– at Los Angeles Chargers

Week 15– vs Las Vegas Raiders

Week 16– at Washington Commanders

Week 17– at Buffalo Bills

Week 18– vs Washington Commanders

It would take an epic collapse for Philly not to win the division or make the playoffs. Number one seed is still in play, but I think LA or Seattle will pull away with that.

Controlling their Destiny, sort of

CHICAGO BEARS (9-3)

Remaining Schedule

Week 14– at Green Bay Packers

Week 15– vs Cleveland Browns

Week 16– vs Green Bay Packers

Week 17– at San Francisco 49ers

Week 18– vs Detroit Lions

Those two Packers games probably decide the division. If Chicago defends their home field, they’ll win the NFC North. Probably need a minimum 4-1 to get the #1 seed.

GREEN BAY PACKERS (8-3-1)

Remaining Schedule

Week 14– vs Chicago Bears

Week 15– at Denver Broncos

Week 16– at Chicago Bears

Week 17– vs Baltimore Ravens

Week 18– at Minnesota Vikings

Green Bay probably needs to sweep Chicago to win the division. Not an easy road, but the Packers should make the playoffs.

TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (7-5)

Remaining Schedule

Week 14– vs New Orleans Saints

Week 15– vs Atlanta Falcons

Week 16– at Carolina Panthers

Week 17– at Miami Dolphins

Week 18– vs Carolina Panthers

Those two games with Carolina will decide the division. Bucs have an outside shot of a wildcard, but it seems like winning the division is their best bet.

SAN FRANCISCO 49ers (9-4)

Remaining Schedule

Week 14– BYE

Week 15– vs Tennessee

Week 16– at Indianapolis Colts

Week 17– vs Chicago Bears

Week 18– vs Seattle Seahawks

Niners are a near lock for the playoffs and they’re right there in the NFC West race, but they need help. The final two versus Chicago & Seattle could determine seeding.

Right There

CAROLINA PANTHERS (7-6)

Remaining Schedule

Week 14– BYE

Week 15– at New Orleans Saints

Week 16– vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Week 17– vs Seattle Seahawks

Week 18– at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Panthers best bet is to win the NFC South, and the two games against Tampa should decide the division.

Need Help

DETROIT LIONS (7-5)

Remaining Schedule

Week 14– vs Dallas Cowboys

Week 15– at Los Angeles Rams

Week 16– vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Week 17– at Minnesota Vikings

Week 18– at Chicago Bears

Lions have little margin for error. It feels like the Dallas game is a must win for both. Their division hopes are probably lost.

DALLAS COWBOYS (6-5-1)

Remaining Schedule

Week 14– at Detroit Lions

Week 15– vs Minnesota Vikings

Week 16– vs Los Angeles Chargers

Week 17– at Washington Commanders

Week 18– at New York Giants

Dallas has no margin for error. Any loss probably eliminates them from division contention & playoff contention.

My Picks

  1. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (NFC West Champion)
  2. CHICAGO BEARS (NFC NORTH Champion)
  3. PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (NFC East Champion)
  4. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (NFC South Champion)
  5. LOS ANGELES RAMS
  6. SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS
  7. GREEN BAY PACKERS

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