Playoff Picture: Week 16

AFC

1. DENVER BRONCOS (12-2) -x

Remaining Schedule

vs Jacksonville Jaguars

at Kansas City Chiefs

vs Los Angeles Chargers

Denver is the first team in the AFC to clinch a playoff berth & they have the inside track to the number one overall seed & a first round bye.

Clinching Scenario- Win vs Jacksonville or Chargers loss clinches the AFC West.

2. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (11-3)

Remaining Schedule

at Baltimore Ravens

at New York Jets

vs Miami Dolphins

New England blew a big lead against Buffalo & a chance to wrap up the AFC East. The Patriots still hold a one game lead in the division & a pretty favorable schedule to finish the season.

Clinching Scenario- Win vs Baltimore, or Colts or Texans loss clinches a playoff berth.

3. JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (10-4)

Remaining Schedule

at Denver Broncos

at Indianapolis Colts

vs Tennessee Titans

Jacksonville maintained their one game lead in the AFC South, but the Jaguars have a tough road game this week & Houston is breathing down their necks.

Clinching Scenario- Win vs Denver & Colts or Texans loss clinches a playoff berth.

4. PITTSBURGH STEELERS (7-7)

Remaining Schedule

at Detroit Lions

at Cleveland Browns

vs Baltimore Ravens

Pittsburgh currently leads the AFC North & holds the fourth seed in the AFC, but their position is precarious. The Steelers could still miss the playoffs entirely. Their schedule isn’t easy, with the rematch with Baltimore looming in the final week.

#5 LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (10-4)

Remaining Schedule

at Dallas Cowboys

vs Houston Texans

at Denver Broncos

The Chargers ended Kansas City’s run of postseason appearances & greatly enhanced their own playoff chances, but that finishing schedule is brutal.

Clinching Scenario- Win vs Dallas & Colts or Texans loss clinches a playoff berth.

6. BUFFALO BILLS (10-4)

Remaining Schedule

at Cleveland Browns

vs Philadelphia Eagles

vs New York Jets

Buffalo stayed alive in the AFC East race, but the Bills need help to surpass New England.

Clinching Scenario- Win vs Cleveland & Colts or Texans loss clinches a playoff berth.

7. HOUSTON TEXANS (9-5)

Remaining Schedule

vs Las Vegas Raiders

at Los Angeles Chargers

vs Indianapolis Colts

Houston kept pace in the AFC South. The Texans have a rather favorable schedule to make the playoffs & possibly catch Jacksonville for the division title.

8. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (8-6)

Remaining Schedule

vs San Francisco 49ers

vs Jacksonville Jaguars

at Houston Texans

Indianapolis showed some fight in their first game with the un-retired Philip Rivers, but they’re now 2 games back in the division & a full game back of a playoff spot. That schedule is super tough, as well.

9. BALTIMORE RAVENS (7-7)

Remaining Schedule

vs New England Patriots

at Green Bay Packers

at Pittsburgh Steelers

Baltimore eliminated Cincinnati & kept pace in the AFC North. The schedule is tough, but it will probably come down to that final game in Pittsburgh.

Eliminated This Week

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (6-8)
MIAMI DOLPHINS (6-8)
CINCINNATI BENGALS (4-10)

Games to Watch

Week 16Jacksonville Jaguars @ Denver Broncos

Denver wants to hold onto the #1 seed & Jacksonville wants to stay one game ahead of Houston in the AFC South. This game will go a long way into determining both.

Week 16San Francisco 49ers @ Indianapolis Colts

The Niners are solidly in the playoffs, but if the Colts want their last two games against division rivals to mean anything, it feels like this is a must win for them.

Week 16New England Patriots @ Baltimore Ravens

Patriots could clinch a playoff berth. Baltimore could keep pace with or tie Pittsburgh. Buffalo could catch New England.

Week 17Houston Texans @ Los Angeles Chargers

Both teams are in good shape to make the playoffs, though nothing is clinched yet. This game will go a long way in determining seeding.

Week 18Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers

The AFC North always seems to come down to these two and it certainly appears as if this final week matchup will settle it once again.

My AFC Picks

  1. Denver Broncos (14-3) AFC West Champions
  2. New England Patriots (14-3) AFC East Champions
  3. Houston Texans (12-5) AFC South Champions
  4. Baltimore Ravens (8-9) AFC North Champions
  5. Buffalo Bills (13-4)
  6. Jacksonville Jaguars (12-5)
  7. Los Angeles Chargers (10-7)

NFC

1. LOS ANGELES RAMS (11-3) -x

Remaining Schedule

at Seattle Seahawks

at Atlanta Falcons

vs Arizona Cardinals

The Rams seem like the most complete team in the NFL. This week’s trip to Seattle has massive implications.

2. CHICAGO BEARS (10-4)

Remaining Schedule

vs Green Bay Packers

at San Francisco 49ers

vs Detroit Lions

Chicago jumped back ahead of Green Bay in the NFC North race with a huge matchup against their bitter rivals this week. The Bears can seize total control of the division & keep their hopes alive for the #1 seed with a win.

Clinching Scenario- Win vs Green Bay & Lions loss clinches a playoff berth.

3. PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (9-5)

Remaining Schedule

at Washington Commanders

at Buffalo Bills

vs Washington Commanders

Any Philadelphia win or Dallas loss will give the Eagles the NFC East for a second consecutive season.

Clinching Scenario- Win vs Washington or Cowboys loss clinches the NFC East.

4. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (7-7)

Remaining Schedule

at Carolina Panthers

at Miami Dolphins

vs Carolina Panthers

The two games with Carolina will decide if Tampa Bay maintains their grip on the AFC South.

5. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (11-3)

Remaining Schedule

vs Los Angeles Rams

at Carolina Panthers

at San Francisco 49ers

Seattle has two tough division games sandwiched around a trip to Carolina that will determine their fate. The could end up anywhere from the #1 seed to the seventh seed.

Clinching Scenario- Win vs Los Angeles or Lions loss clinches a playoff berth.

6. SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (10-4)

Remaining Schedule

at Indianapolis Colts

vs Chicago Bears

vs Seattle Seahawks

The Niners have been quietly hanging around in the NFC West & they find themselves with a shot at not only winning the division but getting the #1 seed, as well.

Clinching Scenario- Win vs Indianapolis or Lions loss clinches a playoff berth.

7. GREEN BAY PACKERS (9-4-1)

Remaining Schedule

at Chicago Bears

vs Baltimore Ravens

at Minnesota Vikings

This week’s trip to Chicago will determine if Green Bay is taking the NFC North or battling for a wildcard spot.

Clinching Scenario- Win vs Chicago & Lions loss clinches a playoff berth.

8. DETROIT LIONS (8-6)

Remaining Schedule

vs Pittsburgh Steelers

at Minnesota Vikings

at Chicago Bears

Detroit is two games back in both the division and wildcard race, but they can still get either with a final week victory in Chicago & an extra loss for the Bears or two losses for Green Bay.

9. CAROLINA PANTHERS (7-7)

Remaining Schedule

vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

vs Seattle Seahawks

at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Those two games with Tampa will decide Carolina’s fate, unless they lose the first & drop the game vs Seattle & the Bucs beat Miami, then that last one is meaningless.

10. DALLAS COWBOYS (6-7-1)

Remaining Schedule

vs Los Angeles Chargers

at Washington Commanders

at New York Giants

Dallas is still alive, barely, but their only shot is the division & there is no margin for error. The Cowboys must win out & have Philly lose out.

Eliminated This Week

MINNESOTA VIKINGS (6-8)

Games to Watch

Week 16Los Angeles Rams @ Seattle Seahawks

The biggest heavyweight fight of the year. Rams could all but clinch the NFC West with a win. A Seattle win would give them first place with a huge date with San Francisco looming in the final week.

Week 16Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears

Whoever wins this one will be in control of the NFC North. Chicago has the tougher remaining schedule, but a win gives them essentially a 2 game lead.

Week 16Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers

The winner would be in control of the NFC South with a chance to clinch the following week because both teams have difficult games in week 17.

Week 17Chicago Bears @ San Francisco 49ers

Both teams could possibly clinch a playoff spot with a victory or set themselves up for a nervous week 18 with a loss.

Week 18Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers

Regardless of how the Rams-Seahawks battle shakes down, this final week game will have major seeding implications.

My NFC Picks

  1. Los Angeles Rams (13-4) NFC West Champions
  2. Chicago Bears (12-5) NFC North Champions
  3. Philadelphia Eagles (11-6) NFC East Champions
  4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-8) NFC South Champions
  5. Seattle Seahawks (13-4)
  6. San Francisco 49ers (12-5)
  7. Green Bay Packers (11-5-1)

x- denotes clinched playoff berth

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