Playoff Picture: Week 15

AFC

1. DENVER BRONCOS (11-2)

Remaining Schedule

vs Green Bay Packers

vs Jacksonville Jaguars

at Kansas City Chiefs

vs Los Angeles Chargers

The AFC currently runs through Denver, but that could change. The Broncos are virtually a lock to make the playoffs & it would take an utter collapse to lose the division, but the battle for the #1 seed will be tough. Denver doesn’t have any cupcakes left on the schedule.

2. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (11-2)

Remaining Schedule

vs Buffalo Bills

at Baltimore Ravens

at New York Jets

vs Miami Dolphins

New England is nearly a lock to win the AFC East, even with a loss to Buffalo next week. The Patriots also have a really good chance to be the #1 seed, their remaining schedule is considerably easier than Denver’s.

3. JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (9-4)

Remaining Schedule

vs New York Jets

at Denver Broncos

at Indianapolis Colts

vs Tennessee Titans

Jacksonville currently sits alone atop the AFC South & with 9 wins, the Jaguars are a virtual lock to make the playoffs. The division, however, is up in the air, with a red hot Houston breathing down their necks. Unfortunately, Jacksonville & Houston will not play each other over the next four weeks.

4. PITTSBURGH STEELERS (7-6)

Remaining Schedule

vs Miami Dolphins

at Denver Broncos

at Cleveland Browns

vs Baltimore Ravens

Pittsburgh currently leads the AFC North & holds the fourth seed in the AFC, but their position is precarious. The Steelers could still miss the playoffs entirely. Their schedule isn’t easy, with the rematch with Baltimore looming in the final week. A rejuvenated Cincinnati is also lurking. Winning the division seems like the only path for Pittsburgh as a wildcard is a very, very long shot.

#5 LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (9-4)

Remaining Schedule

at Kansas City Chiefs

at Dallas Cowboys

vs Houston Texans

at Denver Broncos

The Chargers have one of the toughest closing schedules of any playoff contender, not a single cupcake involved. They’re in good shape now, but every win is critical.

6. BUFFALO BILLS (9-4)

Remaining Schedule

at New England Patriots

at Cleveland Browns

vs Philadelphia Eagles

vs New York Jets

A loss in New England will end Buffalo’s hopes of winning the AFC East & getting a top three seed, but the Bills are a virtual lock for the playoffs. In a playoff scene that could be missing Kansas City & Baltimore, some may think this is Buffalo’s year, but if they have to win three tough road games to make the Super Bowl, I’m skeptical.

7. HOUSTON TEXANS (8-5)

Remaining Schedule

vs Arizona Cardinals

vs Las Vegas Raiders

at Los Angeles Chargers

vs Indianapolis Colts

Houston has worked themselves all the way back into the playoffs, if the season ended today, but they have their sights set higher. Texans are just a game behind Jacksonville in the AFC South, they don’t play each other, but one little slip by the Jags & Houston will pounce.

8. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (8-5)

Remaining Schedule

at Seattle Seahawks

vs San Francisco 49ers

vs Jacksonville Jaguars

at Houston Texans

Indianapolis was already in a full on collapse before they lost Daniel Jones for the season. They shouldn’t let the Jones’ injury change the narrative, the Colts were a long shot to make the playoffs with that closing schedules.

9. BALTIMORE RAVENS (6-7)

Remaining Schedule

at Cincinnati Bengals

vs New England Patriots

at Green Bay Packers

at Pittsburgh Steelers

Baltimore should stay alive until the final week, when they visit Pittsburgh, because the AFC North is very weak. The Ravens have a tough schedule & they haven’t looked good lately.

10. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (6-7)

Remaining Schedule

vs Los Angeles Chargers

at Tennessee Titans

vs Denver Broncos

at Las Vegas Raiders

Kansas City pretty much has to run the table to make the playoffs, but don’t doubt for a second that Patrick Mahomes, Andy Reid & the Chiefs aren’t capable of doing just that. Their two toughest games are in Arrowhead. Don’t count out KC until they are officially eliminated.

11. MIAMI DOLPHINS (6-7)

Remaining Schedule

at Pittsburgh Steelers

vs Cincinnati Bengals

vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

at New England Patriots

Miami also needs to run the table, and get some help, to make the playoffs. The schedule is tough, but manageable, especially if New England has everything wrapped up by the final week. Dolphins are a long shot, but still alive.

12. CINCINNATI BENGALS (4-9)

Remaining Schedule

vs Baltimore Ravens

at Miami Dolphins

vs Arizona Cardinals

vs Cleveland Browns

Cincinnati is still alive because of a bad AFC North, but any loss will all but eliminate the Bengals. Call me crazy, but with a healthy Joe Burrow, I think Cincy has a legitimate shot.

Games to Watch

Week 15Los Angeles Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs

KC has no margin for error & LA has a brutal schedule. Feels like the winner of this one will make the playoffs, the loser could be out.

Week 18Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers

The AFC North usually comes down to these 2 teams, and this game will, again, decide the winner of the division. But, there’s a caveat, I think it will be between the Steelers & a resurgent Cincy. If Pittsburgh wins this, they’re in, lose & I think the Bengals sneak in.

Week 15Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots

This game will probably have no bearing on the AFC East, I don’t think Buffalo will make up two games in 4 weeks, but it could be the difference between the Pats having the #1 seed and a bye or being #2.

Week 15Green Bay Packers @ Denver Broncos

Huge heavyweight fight. Broncos need it in their battle for the #1 seed, Packers need it to maintain their lead in the NFC North. This one will have a lot of seeding implications.

Week 16Cincinnati Bengals @ Miami Dolphins

Both teams could be eliminated by then, but one of them almost certainly will be afterwards. Both Cincy & Miami have no margin for error which raises the stakes for this one.

My AFC Picks

  1. Denver Broncos (14-3) AFC West Champions
  2. New England Patriots (14-3) AFC East Champions
  3. Houston Texans (12-5) AFC South Champions
  4. Cincinnati Bengals (8-9) AFC North Champions
  5. Buffalo Bills (13-4)
  6. Jacksonville Jaguars (12-5)
  7. Kansas City Chiefs (10-7)

NFC

1. LOS ANGELES RAMS (10-3)

Remaining Schedule

vs Detroit Lions

at Seattle Seahawks

at Atlanta Falcons

vs Arizona Cardinals

The division and conference #1 seed will be decided in two weeks when the Rams travel to Seattle. LA will be either the first or fifth seed in the NFC.

2. GREEN BAY PACKERS (9-3-1)

Remaining Schedule

at Denver Broncos

at Chicago Bears

vs Baltimore Ravens

at Minnesota Vikings

Green Bay has two tough road games the next two weeks that will ultimately decide what seed they end up with. Packers could end up as the #1 seed if they run the table.

3. PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (8-5)

Remaining Schedule

vs Las Vegas Raiders

at Washington Commanders

at Buffalo Bills

vs Washington Commanders

Philadelphia is scuffling & their fans are in panic mode, but a favorable closing schedule means they should easily clinch the #3 seed in the NFC. Eagles need to fix things to defend their title, but they certainly have the chance to do so.

4. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (7-6)

Remaining Schedule

vs Atlanta Falcons

at Carolina Panthers

at Miami Dolphins

vs Carolina Panthers

Tampa’s playoff destiny will be decided by those two games with Carolina. Buccaneers are floundering, but the division still runs through them, for now.

5. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (10-3)

Remaining Schedule

vs Indianapolis Colts

vs Los Angeles Rams

at Carolina Panthers

at San Francisco 49ers

Seattle is in much the same boat as the LA Rams, that matchup next week is huge, but the Seahawks also have two tough road games to finish the season.

6. SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (9-4)

Remaining Schedule

vs Tennessee Titans

at Indianapolis Colts

vs Chicago Bears

vs Seattle Seahawks

San Francisco has a firm grip on a wildcard spot, but they should still have eyes on the division title. Two tough games to finish the season, but the Niners get them both at home.

7. CHICAGO BEARS (9-4)

Remaining Schedule

vs Cleveland Browns

vs Green Bay Packers

at San Francisco 49ers

vs Detroit Lions

Chicago lost first place in the NFC North & the #1 seed, but they have a shot to get both back rather quickly. The rematch with Green Bay will decide the division. If the Bears defend their home field, they should be no worse than the second seed.

8. DETROIT LIONS (8-5)

Remaining Schedule

at Los Angeles Rams

vs Pittsburgh Steelers

at Minnesota Vikings

at Chicago Bears

Detroit controls their own destiny, for now, because of the final week matchup with Chicago. The Lions, however, don’t have the easiest of schedules. Every loss hurts.

9. CAROLINA PANTHERS (7-6)

Remaining Schedule

at New Orleans Saints

vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

vs Seattle Seahawks

at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Carolina’s season hinges on those two games with Tampa. Panthers best bet to make the playoffs is to win the NFC South.

10. DALLAS COWBOYS (6-6-1)

Remaining Schedule

vs Minnesota Vikings

vs Los Angeles Chargers

at Washington Commanders

at New York Giants

Dallas is still alive because of Philly’s struggles, but the Cowboys have no margin for error. This week’s matchup with Minnesota probably eliminates one of them.

11. MINNESOTA VIKINGS (5-8)

Remaining Schedule

at Dallas Cowboys

at New York Giants

vs Detroit Lions

vs Green Bay Packers

Minnesota is still mathematically alive, so I’m including them in this list. The Vikings, however, are the longest of long shots. Three very tough games in the last four, I expect them to be eliminated quickly.

Games to Watch

Week 16Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears

This game will likely decide the NFC North champion. Packers have a tough one the week before, then easier ones after this. Bears have what should be an easy one before this, but 2 tougher ones to finish the season.

Week 16Los Angeles Rams @ Seattle Seahawks

Huge, huge game with major implications. Winner will probably win the NFC West and the #1 seed & first round bye. Loser will end up the fifth seed & on the road in the playoffs.

Week 16Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers

Week 18Carolina Panthers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Lump these two together because these will decide the NFC South. One team will get in & host a playoff game, the other will go home for the offseason.

Week 15Minnesota Vikings @ Dallas Cowboys

Both teams are long shots, but one of them will almost certainly be eliminated after this one.

My NFC Picks

  1. Los Angeles Rams (13-4) NFC West Champions
  2. Chicago Bears (12-5) NFC North Champions
  3. Philadelphia Eagles (11-6) NFC East Champions
  4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-8) NFC South Champions
  5. Seattle Seahawks (13-4)
  6. San Francisco 49ers (12-5)
  7. Green Bay Packers (11-5-1)

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