Dallas @ Philadelphia (-8.5)

I think Philly begins their title defense with a blowout of their bitter rivals. Phi 38-13.

Kansas City @ LA Chargers (+3)

Chargers are nominally the home team as this game will be played in Brazil. I like KC to win, but LA to cover. KC 28-27.

Cincinnati (–5.5) @ Cleveland

I think Cincy avoids a slow start this season and thumps Cleveland on the road. Cin 28-13.

Tampa Bay (-2.5) @ Atlanta

I think Tampa sends an early message that this is still their division. TB 24-20.

Arizona @ New Orleans (+6.5)

I think Arizona wins this, but 6.5 is a lot of points to lay on the road. Arz 24-20.

Miami (+1.5) @ Indianapolis

I think Miami will eventually implode this season, but they start with a road win. Mia 20-13.

New York Giants (+5.5) @ Washington

I think Washington will win at home, but the Giants will cover. Was 20-17.

Carolina (+3.5) @ Jacksonville

This is one of the tougher games for me to pick because I think both teams have some upside. I went with the home team to win, but Carolina to cover. Jax 24-21.

Las Vegas @ New England (-2.5)

Another tough game to pick because I think both teams will be improved. I’ll take NE by a field goal. NE 20-17.

Pittsburgh @ NY Jets (+3)

These are two teams I think are on different trajectories. I like the Jets. NYJ 17-16.

San Francisco @ Seattle (+2.5)

I’ll take Seattle & the points at home. Sea 21-17.

Tennessee @ Denver (-7.5)

Yeah, this is a mismatch. Denver rolls. Den 31-10.

Detroit (+2.5) @ Green Bay

I want to pick Detroit to win this, but I just can’t. I’ll take the points instead. GB 24-23.

Houston @ LA Rams (-2.5)

I think the Rams could be one of the better teams in the league if Stafford remains healthy. Rams 27-20.

Baltimore (+1.5) @ Buffalo

Baltimore gets revenge for last year’s playoff loss. Bal 31-28.

Minnesota @ Chicago (+1.5)

The Ben Johnson era starts with a win over a division rival. Chi 23-20.