This is it. My final first round mock draft. Unlike last season, I’m not at all confident in any of these picks. Some I like more than others, but they’re all pure speculation.

It starts with the first pick, Jacksonville should be a lock right now, and others would fall in line after that, but I’m about 50/50 on what the Jaguars will do, and that throws everything else up in the air.

But this is it, I’m sticking with these picks through the first round. Here we go:

#1 JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS- Travon Walker, EDGE, Georgia: Walker isn’t who I think the Jags should take, but he’s the kind of pick GM Trent Baalke makes. Walker’s potential is through the roof, but there’s risk.

#2 DETROIT LIONS- Aidan Hutchinson, EDGE, Michigan: Lions will sprint to the podium once Jacksonville passes on Hutchinson. His ceiling might not be as high as Walker’s, but his floor is much higher.

#3 HOUSTON TEXANS- Kayvon Thibodeaux, EDGE, Oregon: Texans make it 3 edge rushers in a row to start the draft. There’s been speculation Thibodeaux could slip even further, but the talent is there and I don’t think Houston will pass him up.

#4 NEW YORK JETS- Ahmad Gardner, CB, Cincinnati: The Big Apple & ‘Sauce’ feels like a perfect fit, if the Jets agree they’ll have to take him here because he won’t last to #10.

#5 NEW YORK GIANTS- Ikem Ekwonu, OT, NC State: With the first 4 picks being defensive, the Giants have their pick of top tackles, I think Icky Ekwonu is their guy.

#6 CAROLINA PANTHERS- Kenny Pickett, QB, Pittsburgh: Ideally, Carolina trades down and adds picks (they don’t pick again until the fourth round), and they could still land Pickett. Panthers have to take a QB, unless they land Baker Mayfield, and Pickett is the most pro-ready.

#7 NEW YORK GIANTS- Derek Stingley Jr, CB, LSU: There’s been speculation about Stingley slipping out of the top ten, but many believe his talent is on par if not above Sauce Gardner, Giants won’t let him fall any further.

#8 ATLANTA FALCONS- Garrett Wilson, WR, Ohio State: With Calvin Ridley suspended for the season, barring appeal, Atlanta desperately needs pass catchers. Falcons opt for Wilson over Jameson Williams because of the latter’s injury concerns.

Side Note- I wouldn’t be surprised to see Atlanta trade back in to the end of the first round to grab a QB. I think Matt Corral would be their guy.

#9 SEATTLE SEAHAWKS- Evan Neal, OT, Alabama: I think Seattle will land Baker Mayfield, eliminating the need for a QB. The first 8 picks go perfectly for the Seahawks & the top tackle on many draft boards falls into their laps.

#10 NEW YORK JETS- Jermaine Johnson, EDGE, Florida State: Jets have a ton of draft capital, they can give Zach Wilson help with later picks. Going defense with both their first rounders is acceptable with the talent involved.

#11 WASHINGTON COMMANDERS- Jameson Williams, WR, Alabama: Washington needs another receiver, either to pair with Terry McLaurin or to replace him. When healthy, Williams is arguably the top wide out in this class.

#12 MINNESOTA VIKINGS- Kyle Hamilton, S, Notre Dame: Minnesota stops the slide of perhaps the best overall player in this draft. Positional value knocks Hamilton out of the top ten, but he could easily be a Pro Bowler as a rookie.

#13 HOUSTON TEXANS- Charles Cross, OT, Mississippi State: This pick could be a target for QB needy teams, but if they stay put I like Houston to address offense after using their earlier pick on defense.

#14 BALTIMORE RAVENS- Jordan Davis, IDL, Georgia: Davis to Baltimore has been one of my more consistent picks. Depending on how earlier picks shake out, the Ravens may need to jump in front of Minnesota or hold off the Chargers to land him.

#15 PHILADELPHIA EAGLES- Devin Lloyd, LB, Utah: There’s been fierce debate on whether Philly would take a first round WR for the third year in a row, not with this pick. Lloyd is the best, most athletic linebacker in the class, and a leader to boot. He’ll spearhead Gang Green for years to come.

#16 NEW ORLEANS SAINTS- Trevor Penning, OT, Northern Iowa: Despite the high price they paid to add a first rounder, I don’t believe New Orleans is targeting a QB. Their first priority is replacing Terron Armstead.

#17 LOS ANGELES CHARGERS- Zion Johnson, IOL, Boston College: Chargers vastly improved their defense during free agency, now they’ll address the offensive line with the top interior lineman in the class.

#18 PHILADELPHIA EAGLES- Trent McDuffie, CB, Washington: Eagles pass on WRs, for now, to add a corner to play opposite Darius Slay.

#19 NEW ORLEANS SAINTS- Drake London, WR, USC: With or without a healthy Michael Thomas, the Saints need another receiver. London isn’t getting the buzz of some others, but his talent and potential is just as good.

#20 PITTSBURGH STEELERS- Malik Willis, QB, Liberty: Pittsburgh has had past success with smaller school QBs with impressive physical tools (Ben Roethlisberger went to Miami-Ohio, in case you forgot.) The Steelers are a perfect landing spot for Willis, who can sit behind Mitch Trubisky until he’s ready.

Side Note- If the Steelers are truly targeting Willis, and he slips out of the top ten, watch for them to move up. I’d look at Houston with the thirteenth pick.

#21 NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS- Chris Olave, WR, Ohio State: I’m torn between WR or CB for the Patriots, and Belichick could always throw us a curveball. Olave would give Mac Jones a dynamic top target that he lacked in an impressive rookie campaign.

#22 GREEN BAY PACKERS- Treylon Burks, WR, Arkansas: With Olave going the pick ahead of them, and at least 3 teams that could take a WR before they pick again at #28, Green Bay can’t afford to wait. After trading Davante Adams, the Packers have to give Aaron Rodgers another target. I’m not fully convinced Burks is their guy, but he’s got plenty of potential.

#23 ARIZONA CARDINALS- George Karlaftis, EDGE, Purdue: Arizona could go several directions here, including a possible trade down, but getting a replacement for Chandler Jones is a good move.

#24 DALLAS COWBOYS- Daxton Hill, S, Michigan: Hill to Big D is another consistent pick for me, I do think the Cowboys could potentially go offensive line here, too.

#25 BUFFALO BILLS- Kaiir Elam, CB, Florida: Buffalo is a prime candidate to trade out of the first round. They’re a loaded team with few needs, I like the idea of them adding a top RB, but this isn’t the spot. Here they’ll take the top corner on the board.

#26 TENNESSEE TITANS- Jahan Dotson, WR, Penn State: Titans have a need at WR, even if they pacify AJ Brown. Dotson may be a bit of a reach, here though. Tennessee is a dark horse candidate to take a first round QB.

#27 TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS- Kenyon Green, IOL, Texas A&M: Bucs lost both starting guards from last season, one to retirement, the other to free agency. Green will start from day one.

#28 GREEN BAY PACKERS- Boye Mafe, EDGE, Minnesota: They got their WR earlier, this pick should come down to edge or offensive tackle. They’ll get a replacement for Za’Darius Smith and target OT in the second round.

#29 KANSAS CITY CHIEFS- Lewis Cine, S, Georgia: The Chiefs lost Tyreek Hill, but unless they reach they won’t replace him in the first round, instead they’ll get a replacement for Tyrann Mathieu.

#30 KANSAS CITY CHIEFS- Andrew Booth Jr, CB, Clemson: Taking back to back defensive backs in what is sure to be a pass happy AFC West is not a bad strategy for KC.

Side Note- KC is a prime candidate for a team trying to move back up into the first round for a QB (Atlanta?), having 2 first rounders makes them flexible.

#31 CINCINNATI BENGALS- Tyler Linderbaum, IOL, Iowa: Cincy improved their offensive line in free agency, but Linderbaum is too good to pass up.

#32 DETROIT LIONS- Desmond Ridder, QB, Cincinnati: Lions may target a QB at #2, but if Hutchinson is available I think they’ll go that route and wait until here to grab one. Ridder, more than the other QBs is a proven winner.